Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40790367›Full record

ArticleNature human behaviour2025

Intersectional impact of cash transfers on AIDS among 12.3 million Brazilian women.

Andréa F Silva, Iracema Lua, Gabriela S Jesus, Priscila F P S Gestal, Daniella M Cavalcanti, Carlos A S T Santos, Maria Y Ichihara, Mauricio L Barreto, Laio Magno, Luis E Souza and 3 more

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Nature human behaviour, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Andréa F SilvaInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil. andrea.economia@yahoo.com.br.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4345-9797
Iracema LuaDepartment of Health, State University of Feira de Santana, Feira de Santana, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5760-5073
Gabriela S JesusCenter for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ), Salvador, Brazil.
Priscila F P S GestalInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Daniella M CavalcantiInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0801-9844
Carlos A S T SantosCenter for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ), Salvador, Brazil.
Maria Y IchiharaCenter for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ), Salvador, Brazil.
Mauricio L BarretoInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Laio MagnoInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Luis E SouzaInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
James MacinkoDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Department of Community Health Sciences, UCLA Fielding School of Public Health, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8055-5441
Inês DouradoInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.
Davide RasellaInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7260-4386

Funding

The impact of social determinants, conditional cash transfers and primary health care on HIV/AIDS: an integrated retrospective and forecasting approach based on a cohort of 100 million BraziliansR01AI152938 · NIAID · FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF BAHIA · PI RASELLA, DAVIDE · 2020 to 2024
$2.0M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI152938
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Multiple socioeconomic vulnerabilities are associated with an increased burden of human immunodeficiency virus and its progression to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). Here, using a quasi-experimental impact evaluation design and a cohort of 12.3 million low-income Brazilian women (daughters and mothers) from 2007 to 2015, we evaluated the impact and intersectional effectiveness of the world's largest conditional cash transfer, the Programa Bolsa Família (PBF) on AIDS incidence and AIDS-related mortality. Among daughters, PBF was associated with reductions in AIDS incidence (rate ratio (RR) 0.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.42-0.66) and AIDS-related mortality (RR 0.45, 95% CI 0.27-0.74). Among mothers, PBF was associated with reductions in AIDS incidence (RR 0.58, 95% CI 0.55-0.61) and AIDS-related mortality (RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.53-0.63). The effects of PBF were stronger among mothers with 1 vulnerability, and even higher with 2 intersecting vulnerabilities, specifically for AIDS incidence among brown/Black and extremely low income (RR 0.47, 95% CI 0.44-0.49). The greatest effect was observed in extremely low-income, brown/Black mothers with higher education (RR 0.44, 95% CI 0.38-0.53). Conditional cash transfer could substantially contribute towards reducing AIDS-related inequalities and achieving the AIDS-related Sustainable Development Goal.

Indexed as

Acquired Immunodeficiency SyndromePovertyAdultBrazilFemaleHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedMothersSocioeconomic FactorsYoung Adult

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.