Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40789588›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2025

Comparative analysis of metabolic risks and related non-communicable disease burden across sociodemographic index regions from 1990 to 2021.

Chunhui Ding, Jingjing Duan, Zinuo Yuan, Shiwei Sun, Ziwei Liu, Xiude Fan, Yongfeng Song

Abstract readObservational StudyComparative Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Chunhui DingShandong University, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Jingjing DuanShandong University, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Zinuo YuanShandong University, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Shiwei SunDepartment of Endocrinology, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Ziwei LiuDepartment of Endocrinology, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Xiude FanDepartment of Endocrinology, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7413-080X
Yongfeng SongShandong University, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Jinan, Shandong, China syf198506@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8934-3154

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo analyse the trends and differences of metabolic risks related non-communicable diseases (NCDs) globally and across various sociodemographic index (SDI) regions from 1990 to 2021.

designObservational study.

settingThe data of global and all SDI regions were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 database.

main outcome measuresAge-standardised deaths rate and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) percentage of NCDs attributable to metabolic risk were analysed worldwide and across SDI regions from 1990 to 2021. Besides, we analysed the regional trends of metabolic risk summary exposure value (SEV). A detailed analysis of the specific disease burden of various body systems caused by metabolic risks was also provided.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, all regions showed increased SEV for metabolic risks, with the most notable growth in middle (total change: +84.8%, 95% uncertainty intervals (95% UI) 72.6% to 96.0%) and low-middle SDI regions (+84.5%, 95% UI 70.5% to 95.5%). While high SDI regions had the highest SEV (29.916 in 2021, 95% UI 26.968 to 32.237), they experienced significant reductions in mortality (-49.6%, 95% UI -53.5% to -46.2%) attributable to metabolic risks. DALYs associated with metabolic risks, particularly high body mass index (HBMI), increased notably, especially in less-developed regions (DALYs of NCDs due to HBMI in low-middle SDI regions: +99.9%, 95% UI 76.4% to 114.5%). In these areas, notable DALY rises were observed for conditions including cardiovascular diseases, digestive diseases and particularly metabolic risk-related cancers (>80.0%), reflecting a distinctive shift in the distribution of NCD burdens related to metabolic risks.

conclusionsThe rising metabolic risk exposure and associated NCD burden, particularly in less developed regions, underscores the need for targeted public health interventions to mitigate these growing health challenges.

Indexed as

Metabolic DiseasesNoncommunicable DiseasesDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSociodemographic FactorsSocioeconomic FactorsBlood PressureBody Mass IndexChronic DiseaseLipid disordersPUBLIC HEALTH

Identifiers

PMID40789588
PMCPMC12336516

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.