Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40787443›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in immunology2025

Liver metastases in thyroid cancer: epidemiology, risk stratification and survival outcomes in the immunotherapy era.

Ming-Lu Xu, Yang-Yang Wang, Li-Ping Xie, Ning Ding, Jia-Jun Hui

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Article in Frontiers in immunology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ming-Lu Xu *Department of Medical Oncology, Wuxi Huishan District People's Hospital, Affiliated Huishan Hospital of Xinglin College, Nantong University, Wuxi, China.
Yang-Yang Wang *Department of Otolaryngology, Wuxi Huishan District People's Hospital, Affiliated Huishan Hospital of Xinglin College, Nantong University, Wuxi, China.
Li-Ping XieDepartment of Medical Oncology, Suzhou Dushu Lake Hospital, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Ning DingDepartment of Medical Oncology, Wuxi Huishan District People's Hospital, Affiliated Huishan Hospital of Xinglin College, Nantong University, Wuxi, China.
Jia-Jun HuiDepartment of Medical Oncology, Wuxi Huishan District People's Hospital, Affiliated Huishan Hospital of Xinglin College, Nantong University, Wuxi, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose: Liver metastases in thyroid cancer are rare but fatal, with poorly defined risk profiles and survival outcomes. This study aimed to characterize epidemiology, risk factors and outcomes of this disease using a population-based approach, further explore the potential impact of the immunotherapy era on the prognosis of these patients. Methods: Data on 116,801 thyroid cancer cases from SEER program (2010-2021) were analyzed. The clinicopathological features of patients with and without liver metastases were compared. Logistic regression analyses were employed to identify the predictors for liver metastases, while survival determinants were determined using Cox regression models. The predictive nomogram was developed for liver metastasis risk assessment, validated using concordance index, calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, we further compared the prognostic outcomes of these patients in the immunotherapy era. Results: The prevalence of liver metastasis in thyroid cancer was 0.22% (95%CI 0.20%-0.25%), predominantly in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) and anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC). MTC exhibited the highest risk of metastasis (OR=35.7, 95%CI 24.1-52.8). The nomogram for liver metastasis risk (C-index=0.98) demonstrated robust discriminatory ability and clinical utility. The median overall survival (OS) was 6.0 months (95%CI 4.0-8.0), with survival rates of 38.1% at 1 year, 28.3% at 3 years, and 16.5% at 5 years. Patients with ATC and rare histology types experienced significantly shorter survival. No statistically significant difference in mOS and median cancer-specific survival (mCSS) of these patients between the pre- and post-immunotherapy eras were observed (P>0.05 for both). Conclusion: This study establishes the first population-based predictive framework for liver metastases in thyroid cancer, underscoring risk stratification and survival. These findings also highlight the critical need to optimize survival outcomes for this aggressive metastatic phenotype in immunotherapy era.

Indexed as

Liver NeoplasmsThyroid NeoplasmsAdultAgedFemaleHumansImmunotherapyMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsPrognosisRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSEER Programimmunotherapyliver metastasesnomogramrisk predictionSEER databasesurvival analysisthyroid cancer

Identifiers

PMID40787443
PMCPMC12331672

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