Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40781891›Full record

ArticleDrug testing and analysis2025

Estimation of Plasma Volume by Machine Learning to Improve the Interpretation of the Athlete Biological Passport.

Bastien Krumm, Laura Lewis, Jakob Mørkeberg, Yorck Olaf Schumacher, Giuseppe d'Onofrio, Basile Moreillon, Raphael Faiss

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug testing and analysis, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Bastien KrummResearch and Expertise in Antidoping Sciences, Institute of Sport Sciences, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9132-606X
Laura LewisUS Anti-Doping Agency, Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA.
Jakob MørkebergScience and Research, Anti Doping Denmark, Brøndby, Denmark.
Yorck Olaf SchumacherAspetar Orthopedic and Sports Medicine Hospital, Doha, Qatar.
Giuseppe d'OnofrioCatholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy.
Basile MoreillonResearch and Expertise in Antidoping Sciences, Institute of Sport Sciences, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Raphael FaissResearch and Expertise in Antidoping Sciences, Institute of Sport Sciences, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6029-9516

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The identification of confounding factors related to plasma volume (PV) fluctuations is crucial for appropriate qualitative interpretations of Athlete Biological Passport (ABP) profiles. As part of ongoing efforts to remove PV variance from the concentration-based biomarkers such as hemoglobin concentration ([Hb]), a new machine learning model for blood volume (BV) estimation using a single complete blood count analysis was applied within the ABP framework. Forty existing ABP profiles from elite athletes and healthy control subjects were used. PV was estimated using a machine learning model trained on a previous dataset. First, a visual display of the estimated PV shift was added in overlay of individual profiles. Alternatively, individual [Hb] thresholds were adjusted in a new graphical profile to account for PV variations. Finally, a set of ABP profiles with PV estimations was presented to ABP experts to assess the model's relevance in interpreting hematological data. A moderate correlation was found between measured and estimated PV in both men (r = 0.40, p < 0.0001) and women (r = 0.39, p < 0.0001), supporting the validity of the estimation model. In addition, ABP experts favorably assessed the available PV information, particularly the visual representation of PV. This novel estimation model offers distinct advantages (e.g., same biomarkers currently analyzed from routine ABP analyses) and could therefore be of particular interest. Further application of this model in the presence of specific and transient confounding factors may allow to confirm these results.

Indexed as

AthletesDoping in SportsMachine LearningPlasma VolumeAdultBiomarkersFemaleHemoglobinsHumansMaleYoung AdultBiomarkersHemoglobinsathlete biological passportmachine learningplasma volume

Identifiers

PMID40781891
PMCPMC12580168

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.