Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40781662›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Global, regional, and National burden of urticaria (1990-2021), its potential risk factors, and projections to 2046.

Siqi Tan, Ziyan Chen, Tong Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Siqi TanHospital for Skin Diseases, Institute of Dermatology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, 12 Jiangwangmiao Street, Xuanwu District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210042, China.
Ziyan ChenDepartment of Neurosurgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.
Tong LinHospital for Skin Diseases, Institute of Dermatology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, 12 Jiangwangmiao Street, Xuanwu District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210042, China. ddlin@hotmail.com.

Funding

Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Initiative for Innovative Medicine CIFMS-2021-I2M-1-001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUrticaria is a common inflammatory skin disorder that causes distressing symptoms, significantly impacting the quality of life of patients and imposing a substantial burden on society.

objectiveThis study aimed to enhance policymakers' awareness of the burden of urticaria and encourage the rational allocation of health resources.

methodsWe utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Results (2021) to obtain prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for urticaria from 1990 to 2021, categorized by age, gender, and region. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model with integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) was employed to project global incidence trends through 2046. Correlations between air pollution levels, dietary intake, and urticaria incidence were analyzed using Spearman's rank-order correlation.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, the global burden of urticaria increased gradually, reaching 66.48 million cases in 2021. Females and younger age groups had higher burdens. Projections indicate a continued rise through 2046. Moderate positive correlations were found between urticaria incidence and ozone (rho = 0.349, p < 0.0001) and particulate matter (PM) (rho = 0.389, p < 0.0001), with a weak correlation to NO₂ (rho = 0.249, p = 0.0003). Dietary intake of calcium, milk, processed meats, sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), trans fats, and vegetables was positively associated with urticaria, while legumes, nuts, omega-3 fatty acids, and whole grains were negatively correlated.

conclusionUrticaria poses a significant global health concern, with rising incidence projected by 2046. The findings highlight correlations between air pollution and dietary factors, suggesting potential protective effects of certain foods.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthUrticariaAdolescentAdultAgedAir PollutionBayes TheoremChildChild, PreschoolDietDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingHumansIncidenceBurden of diseaseProjectionRisk factorsUrticaria

Identifiers

PMID40781662
PMCPMC12333250

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.