Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40781349›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Application of causal forest double machine learning (DML) approach to assess tuberculosis preventive therapy's impact on ART adherence.

Abraham Keffale Mengistu, Kelemua Aschale Yeneakale, Nebebe Demis Baykemagn, Zelalem Yitayal Melese, Andualem Enyew Gedefaw

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Abraham Keffale MengistuDepartment of Health Informatics, College of Medicine Health Science, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Ethiopia. abreham_keffale@dmu.edu.et.
Kelemua Aschale YeneakaleDepartment of Health Informatics, College of Medicine Health Science, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Ethiopia.
Nebebe Demis BaykemagnDepartment of Health Informatics, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.
Zelalem Yitayal MeleseDepartment of Health Informatics, College of Medicine Health Science, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Ethiopia.
Andualem Enyew GedefawDepartment of Health Informatics, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Adherence to antiretroviral therapy (ART) is critical for HIV treatment success, yet the impact of tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT) remains inadequately understood. Using observational data from 4152 HIV patients in Ethiopia (2005-2024), we applied causal inference methods, including Adjusted Logistic Regression, Propensity Score Matching, and Causal Forest Double Machine Learning (DML), to estimate TPT's effect on ART adherence. The DML approach (leveraging Random Forests and orthogonalization) provided the most precise estimates after model comparison. We found TPT initiation reduced adherence probability by 3.14 percentage points on average (ATE =  - 0.0314; 95% CI - 0.0373, - 0.0254; p < 0.001). While most patients experienced negligible effects, substantial heterogeneity existed: individuals with advanced WHO stage, longer ART duration, higher BMI, or older age showed better adherence responses, whereas those with higher CD4 counts, functional impairment, or cotrimoxazole prophylaxis use faced greater risks. Subgroup analyses revealed consistent effects across clinical strata but greater variability among non-TPT initiators. These findings support personalized TPT deployment, prioritizing patients with advanced disease while monitoring vulnerable subgroups and highlighting the need for adherence support. Future research should validate results in multi-site cohorts using longitudinal and psychosocial data.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsMachine LearningMedication AdherenceTuberculosisAdultAntitubercular AgentsEthiopiaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedAnti-HIV AgentsAntitubercular AgentsART adherenceCausal machine learningDouble machine learningHeterogeneous treatment effectsHIVTuberculosis preventive therapy

Identifiers

PMID40781349
PMCPMC12334745

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.