Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40778530›Full record

ArticlePacing and clinical electrophysiology : PACE2025

Development and Validation of a Mortality Prediction Model for Left Ventricular Thrombus.

Song Lei, Chenyu Yu, Li Li, Mei Liu, Mou Yang, Hongde Hu

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Pacing and clinical electrophysiology : PACE, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Song LeiDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Chenyu YuDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Li LiDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Sichuan Nursing Vocational College, The Third People's Hospital of Sichuan Province, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Mei LiuAffiliated Hospital of Sichuan Nursing Vocational College, The Third People's Hospital of Sichuan Province, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Mou YangDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Hongde HuDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3878-6136

Funding

Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project 2023ZD0504200
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveLeft ventricular thrombus (LVT) is a severe complication associated with increased risks of systemic embolism and mortality. Despite advancements in anticoagulant therapy, optimal management strategies and risk factors for all-cause mortality remain unclear. This study aims to develop a predictive model to assess mortality risk in LVT patients and guide clinical decision-making. METHODS AND

resultsThis retrospective cohort study included LVT patients diagnosed at West China Hospital (June 2018-June 2023). Patients were classified into survival and mortality groups based on all-cause mortality during follow-up. A total of 459 patients were included, randomly divided into training (n = 322) and validation (n = 137) sets. Logistic regression analysis identified seven independent predictors of mortality, which were used to construct a nomogram-based risk prediction model. The model demonstrated good discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.846 in the training set and 0.791 in the validation set. Key mortality predictors included elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) (OR 3.359, 95% CI 1.827-6.176, p = 0.0001), lower albumin levels (OR 0.930, 95% CI 0.882-0.981, p = 0.0077), absence of antithrombotic therapy (OR 0.468, 95% CI 0.303-0.723, p = 0.0006), and presence of malignant tumors (OR 6.199, 95% CI 1.593-24.129, p = 0.0085).

conclusionA novel mortality prediction model for LVT patients was developed, offering a valuable tool for risk assessment and treatment optimization. This model provides a valuable tool for risk assessment and treatment optimization in Asian populations, particularly in China. Further validation is required to confirm its clinical utility.

Indexed as

Heart DiseasesHeart VentriclesThrombosisAgedChinaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factorsanticoagulation therapyDOACsleft ventricular thrombusmortality predictionthromboembolism

Identifiers

PMID40778530
PMCPMC12439235

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.