Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40770716›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2025

Dynamic frailty risk prediction in elderly hip replacement: a deep learning approach to personalized rehabilitation.

Xujing Lv, Hongmei Li, Yue Li, Ruibing Zhuo, Yiting Yue, Ying Wang, Xiaoyun Zheng, Huanling Gao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Xujing LvFenyang College, Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi, China.
Hongmei LiFenyang College, Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi, China.
Yue LiSchool of Electronic and Information Engineering, TianGong University, Tianjin, China.
Ruibing ZhuoCollege of Computer Science and Technology, Taiyuan Normal University, Shanxi, China.
Yiting YueFenyang College, Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi, China.
Ying WangFenyang Hospital of Shanxi Province, Shanxi, China.
Xiaoyun ZhengFenyang Hospital of Shanxi Province, Shanxi, China.
Huanling GaoFenyang College, Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi, China. fyahuan@163.com.

Funding

Science and Technology Innovation Program for Universities in Shanxi Province 2023L484Science and Technology Program Projects of Lvliang City 2024SHFZ41
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOsteoarthritis and related degenerative conditions in the elderly often necessitate hip replacement surgery. Frailty is common in this population and significantly increases the risk of postoperative complications and delayed recovery. Accurate prediction of postoperative frailty risk and its temporal progression is essential for guiding personalized rehabilitation strategies.

methodsThis study prospectively included 647 patients aged 60 years or older who underwent hip replacement surgery at the Affiliated Hospital of Shanxi Medical University between June 2021 and December 2023. Clinical, biochemical, demographic, and surgical data were collected at preoperative and postoperative stages. To mitigate sample size limitations, data augmentation was applied, expanding the dataset to approximately 2,500 cases for model training. Seven survival analysis models-Cox-Time, DeepHit, DeepSurv, MP-RSF, MP-AdaBoost, MP-LogitR-were employed to dynamically predict frailty risk over time. Model performance was evaluated using the C-index and Brier score. Model interpretability was assessed using SHAP analysis.

resultsDeepSurv demonstrated the highest predictive performance (C-index = 0.95, Brier score = 0.03), while MP-RSF performed less optimally (C-index = 0.77). The predicted frailty risk peaked around postoperative day 30 and declined by day 90. SHAP analysis identified low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), age, body mass index (BMI), and surgical indication as key contributors to frailty prediction across models.

conclusionThe findings of this study suggest that the DeepSurv model may more accurately predict the postoperative frailty trajectory than other models. Identifying high-risk periods and key clinical predictors enables clinicians to implement timely, individualized interventions that may reduce frailty risk and improve functional recovery.

Indexed as

Arthroplasty, Replacement, HipDeep LearningFrail ElderlyFrailtyOsteoarthritis, HipPostoperative ComplicationsAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrecision MedicineProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentDynamic predictionFrailty assessmentMachine learningPersonalized rehabilitation strategiesPostoperative rehabilitation

Identifiers

PMID40770716
PMCPMC12330151

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.