Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40770426›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

AI-derived CT biomarker score for robust COVID-19 mortality prediction across multiple waves and regions using machine learning.

Kristof De Smet, Dieter De Smet, Peter De Jaeger, Jannes Dewitte, Geert Antoine Martens, Nico Buls, Johan De Mey

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kristof De Smet *Department of Radiology, AZ Delta General Hospital, Roeselare, Belgium.
Dieter De Smet *Department of Laboratory Medicine, AZ Delta General Hospital, Deltalaan 1, Roeselare, 8800, Belgium. dieter.desmet@azdelta.be.
Peter De JaegerRADar Innovation Center, AZ Delta General Hospital, Roeselare, Belgium.
Jannes DewitteDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, AZ Delta General Hospital, Deltalaan 1, Roeselare, 8800, Belgium.
Geert Antoine MartensDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, AZ Delta General Hospital, Deltalaan 1, Roeselare, 8800, Belgium.
Nico BulsDepartment of Radiology, UZ Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.
Johan De MeyDepartment of Radiology, UZ Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.

Funding

European Commission's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation program (grant agreement 101016131, ICOVID) 101016131
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aimed to develop a simple, interpretable model using routinely available data for predicting COVID-19 mortality at admission, addressing limitations of complex models, and to provide a statistically robust framework for controlled clinical use, managing model uncertainty for responsible healthcare application. Data from Belgium's first COVID-19 wave (UZ Brussel, n = 252) were used for model development. External validation utilized data from unvaccinated patients during the late second and early third waves (AZ Delta, n = 175). Various machine learning methods were trained and compared for diagnostic performance after data preprocessing and feature selection. The final model, the M3-score, incorporated three features: age, white blood cell (WBC) count, and AI-derived total lung involvement (TOTAL

Indexed as

COVID-19Machine LearningTomography, X-Ray ComputedAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBelgiumBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedSARS-CoV-2BiomarkersActionabilityArtificial intelligenceClinical decision supportCOVID-19 mortalityInterpretabilityLikelihood ratioMachine learningPrediction modelTotal lung involvement

Identifiers

PMID40770426
PMCPMC12328554

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.