Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40761534›Full record

ArticleConservation physiology2025

Temporal dynamics of polar bear (

David McGeachy, Nicholas J Lunn, Evan S Richardson, Andrew E Derocher

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Conservation physiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

David McGeachyWildlife Research Division, Science and Technology Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, 11455 Saskatchewan Dr. Edmonton, AB T6G 2E9, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1958-5363
Nicholas J LunnWildlife Research Division, Science and Technology Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, 11455 Saskatchewan Dr. Edmonton, AB T6G 2E9, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0189-5494
Evan S RichardsonWildlife Research Division, Science and Technology Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, 123 Main St. Winnipeg, MB R3C 4W2, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3172-5592
Andrew E DerocherDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, 11455 Saskatchewan Dr. Edmonton, AB T6G 2E9, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1104-7774

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Reproduction is the most energetically costly undertaking for female mammals and for capital breeders. Understanding factors that influence individual body condition and reproductive success is essential to understanding population demography. We investigated long-term trends in pregnancy rates to assess the impacts of individual and environmental factors on polar bear reproduction. Pregnancy status was determined from serum progesterone levels in blood collected from free-ranging polar bears captured on shore in late summer to early autumn in western Hudson Bay, Canada. We analysed 541 blood samples for progesterone level from 441 individuals from 1991 to 2021 and compared to data from 1982 to 1990 (354 individuals from 476 occasions). We used a generalized linear model to investigate individual and environmental factors that could influence pregnancy rates. The percent of solitary females that were pregnant declined significantly over time and between time periods from 85% in 1982-90 to 73% in 1991-2021. Interannual variation in pregnancy was high, ranging from 46 to 100%. Pregnancy rates were influenced by mass and age, with higher pregnancy rates for heavier females and those >4 and <24 years old. The percentage of pregnant 4-year-old females declined from 82% in 1982-90 to 55% in 1991-2021. The mass of pregnant females declined over time and the lightest pregnant female known to have produced cubs weighed 196 kg in the autumn. We suggest further research is needed to understand mechanisms resulting in pregnancy rate variation, which may be related to previous reproductive status and recent litter loss.

Indexed as

First breedinghormonepolar bearspregnancy ratesprogesteronereproductionsea ice

Identifiers

PMID40761534
PMCPMC12318928

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.