Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40760781›Full record

ArticleDiabetes, obesity & metabolism2025

Risk of suicidal ideation and suicidality among adults prescribed semaglutide for weight management: A population-based cohort study.

Qoua L Her, Tiansheng Wang, Til Stürmer, John B Buse, Michele Jonsson Funk, Virginia Pate, Michael Webster-Clark

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes, obesity & metabolism, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Qoua L HerDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6427-1032
Tiansheng WangDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0980-8896
Til StürmerDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9204-7177
John B BuseDepartment of Medicine, Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9723-3876
Michele Jonsson FunkDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3756-7540
Virginia PateDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Michael Webster-ClarkDepartment of Public Health Sciences - Epidemiology and Prevention, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8079-8504

Funding

North Carolina Translational and Clinical Sciences Institute (NC TraCS)UM1TR004406 · NCATS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI NICHOLAS J SHAHEEN · 2023 to 2026
$37.5M
Pilot & Feasibility ProgramP30DK124723 · NIDDK · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI P Darrell Neufer · 2020 to 2026
$11.0M
Propensity scores and preventive drug use in the elderlyR01AG056479 · NIA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Til Sturmer · 2017 to 2026
$5.0M
Applying causal inference methods to improve estimation of the real-world benefits and harms of lung cancer screening - NCI Diversity SupplementR01CA277756 · NCI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Louise Henderson, Jennifer Lund · 2023 to 2026
$1.5M
American Diabetes Assocation 1-25-PDF-96; 4-22-PDFPM-06Division of Cancer Prevention, National Cancer Institute R01CA277756National Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of Health R01AG056479NCATS NIH HHS UM1 TR004406NCI NIH HHS R01 CA277756NIA NIH HHS R01 AG056479NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK124723NIDDK NIH HHS P30DK124723
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo evaluate the risk of incident suicidal ideation (SI) and suicidality (SI, suicide attempt or intentional self-harm) among overweight or obese adults who were prescribed semaglutide for weight management compared with active comparators (weight management drugs: bupropion/naltrexone, orlistat, phentermine or phentermine/topiramate). MATERIALS AND

methodsUsing the Merative® MarketScan Databases, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults initiating semaglutide or an active comparator between 01 June 2021, and 31 December 2022. Patients were required to have ≥1 year of continuous health and pharmacy plan coverage, a diagnosis of overweight or obesity, no prior suicidality or type 2 diabetes, and new users of semaglutide or active comparators for inclusion. SI and suicidality were identified using diagnosis codes within 183 days of drug initiation. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate risks, risk differences (RDs), and risk ratios (RRs), controlling for confounding with standardized mortality ratio weights.

resultsAmong 16 822 semaglutide and 11 986 active comparator new users, the adjusted risk of incident SI was 0.08% (13.0 events) for semaglutide and 0.05% (8.9 events) for active comparators, and for incident suicidality was 0.08% (14.0 events) for semaglutide and 0.07% (11.0 events) for active comparators. Adjusted RDs were 0.02% (95% CI: [-0.02%, 0.07%]) for SI and 0.02% (-0.03%, 0.07%) for suicidality, with corresponding RRs of 1.36 (0.62, 6.14) and 1.18 (0.57, 3.63).

conclusionAmong patients initiating semaglutide for weight management, semaglutide did not appear to increase the risk of suicide-related outcomes. However, the CIs of the RDs are compatible with a 0.07% increase in 6-month risk and the true RD could be larger due to the potentially low sensitivity of ICD-10 diagnosis codes for and underreporting of suicide-related outcomes. Additional studies are critical to confirm these findings and obtain more precise estimates of any potential benefits or harms of semaglutide.

Indexed as

Anti-Obesity AgentsGlucagon-Like PeptidesObesityOverweightSuicidal IdeationAdultAgedFemaleGlucagon-Like Peptide 1HumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSemaglutideSuicideAnti-Obesity AgentsGlucagon-Like Peptide 1Glucagon-Like PeptidesSemaglutideGLP‐1RAsglucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonistsobesityoverweightpatient safetysemaglutidesuicidal ideationsuicidality

Identifiers

PMID40760781
PMCPMC12758837

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.