Early prediction of proton therapy dose distributions and DVHs for hepatocellular carcinoma using contour-based CNN models from diagnostic CT and MRI.

backgroundProton therapy is commonly used for treating hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, its feasibility can be challenging to assess in large tumors or those adjacent to critical organs at risk (OARs), which are typically assessed only after planning computed tomography (CT) acquisition. This study aimed to predict proton dose distributions using diagnostic CT (dCT) and diagnostic MRI (dMRI) with a convolutional neural network (CNN), enabling early treatment feasibility assessments.

methodsDose distributions and dose-volume histograms (DVHs) were calculated for 118 patients with HCC using intensity-modulated proton therapy (IMPT) and passive proton therapy. A CPU-based CNN model was used to predict DVHs and 3D dose distributions from diagnostic images. Prediction accuracy was evaluated using mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR), structural similarity index (SSIM), and gamma passing rate with a 3 mm/3% criterion.

resultsThe predicted DVHs and dose distributions showed high agreement with actual values. MAE remained below 3.0%, with passive techniques achieving 1.2-1.8%. MSE was below 0.004 in all cases. PSNR ranged from 24 to 28 dB, and SSIM exceeded 0.94 in most conditions. Gamma passing rates averaged 82-83% for IMPT and 92-93% for passive techniques. The model achieved comparable accuracy when using dMRI and dCT.

conclusionsThis study demonstrates that early dose distribution prediction from diagnostic imaging is feasible and accurate using a lightweight CNN model. Despite anatomical variability between diagnostic and planning images, this approach provides timely insights into treatment feasibility, potentially supporting insurance pre-authorization, reducing unnecessary imaging, and optimizing clinical workflows for HCC proton therapy.