Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40758464›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2025

The incidence and mortality of connective tissue diseases: a population-level cohort study in England from 2012 to 2023.

Samir Patel, Mark D Russell, Katie Bechman, Maryam A Adas, Zijing Yang, Edward Alveyn, Chris Wincup, Alex Dregan, Kate Bramham, Sam Norton and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Samir PatelCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.
Mark D RussellCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8171-7772
Katie BechmanCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.
Maryam A AdasCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5560-6603
Zijing YangCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.
Edward AlveynCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6465-6194
Chris WincupCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.
Alex DreganCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.
Kate BramhamCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.
Sam NortonCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1714-9963
James B GallowayCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1230-2781
Patrick Anthony GordonCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, UK.

Funding

AbbVie
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe reported incidence and mortality of connective tissue diseases (CTDs) in England has been inconsistent in the literature. Our objective was to describe current trends in the incidence and mortality of systemic lupus erythematous (SLE), Sjögren's disease (SjD), systemic sclerosis (SSc), idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) and mixed connective tissue disease (MCTD).

methodsWe conducted a retrospective population-level study using primary care records in England via the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. We included individuals ≥18 years old with new CTD diagnoses between 2012 and 2023. Our outcomes were incidence and all-cause mortality, which included age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs), standardized mortality ratios and hazards over time using flexible parametric models.

resultsThere was a total of 22 829 incident CTD diagnoses (81.1% female, median age 57). The age and sex-standardized incidence of SLE and SSc fell over the study period 2012-2023 (SLE: 4.32-3.29 per 100 000 person years [py] and SSc: 2.33-1.86 per 100 000 py), whereas SjD and MCTD incidence remained relatively stable. In contrast, IIM diagnoses rose from 3.23 to 4.31 per 100 000 py. ASMRs across the study period were highest for IIM (27.83 per 1000 py), followed by SSc (24.43), SLE (16.74), MCTD (16.27) and lowest for SjD (9.70).

conclusionOur findings indicated a fall in the incidence of SLE, a simultaneous rise in IIM incidence, and high all-cause mortality within IIM and SSc cohorts. Our study acknowledges the changing landscape of CTDs in England and will aid healthcare resource planning for this vulnerable population.

Indexed as

Connective Tissue DiseasesAdultAgedEnglandFemaleHumansIncidenceLupus Erythematosus, SystemicMaleMiddle AgedMixed Connective Tissue DiseaseMyositisRetrospective StudiesScleroderma, SystemicSjogren's SyndromeYoung Adultconnective tissue diseasesidiopathic inflammatory myopathiesincidencemixed connective tissue diseasemortalitySjögren’s syndromesystemic lupus erythematosussystemic sclerosis

Identifiers

PMID40758464
PMCPMC12671860

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.