Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40757869›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2026

Clinical Consequences of Delaying Implementation of Long-Acting Antiretroviral Therapy for People With HIV and Persistent Viremia in the United States.

Pamela P Pei, Michelle Jones, Ruitian Hu, Wanyi Chen, Paul E Sax, Ankur Pandya, Monica Gandhi, Joseph J Eron, Judith S Currier, Timothy J Wilkin and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Pamela P PeiMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6095-8494
Michelle JonesMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2416-5769
Ruitian HuMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Wanyi ChenMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8523-1032
Paul E SaxDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Ankur PandyaDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Monica GandhiDivision of HIV, Infectious Diseases, and Global Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6674-5388
Joseph J EronDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Judith S CurrierDivision of Infectious Diseases, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4279-4737
Timothy J WilkinDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9386-9335
Krishna P ReddyMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Livia QosheMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Emily P HyleMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Kenneth A FreedbergMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6471-7930

Funding

Leadership and Operations Center (LOC), AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG); LOC 1/UM1AI068636 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Joseph J Eron, RAJESH T GANDHI · 2011 to 2026
$1073.1M
UCSD Department of Medicine HIV/AIDS Clinical Trials UnitUM1AI069432 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI TIMOTHY J. WILKIN · 2012 to 2026
$50.4M
Development and application of a new simulation model for COVID-19R01AI042006 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Kenneth Alan Freedberg, Anne Neilan · 1998 to 2026
$12.9M
Novel Methods to Inform HIV/TB Clinical Trial DevelopmentR01AI093269 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI REDDY, KRISHNA P · 2011 to 2024
$6.8M
“Hair Lengthening”: Using Hair Levels to Interpret Long-Acting PrEP Studies.R37AI098472 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Monica Gandhi · 2023 to 2026
$3.2M
Advancing Clinical Therapeutics Globally UM1AI068636Massachusetts General Hospital Jerome and Celia Reich Endowed Scholar AwardNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease R01AI042006National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease R01AI093269NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI042006NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI093269NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI098472NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068636NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI069432
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPeople with HIV (PWH) with persistent viremia and adherence challenges to oral antiretroviral therapy (ART) can achieve viral suppression (VS) with long-acting cabotegravir/rilpivirine (LA-CAB/RPV). The US guidelines, however, recommend CAB/RPV only in limited situations. We projected the impact of delaying LA-CAB/RPV implementation while awaiting trial data.

methodsUsing a microsimulation model, we considered 2 approaches for PWH with persistent viremia and intermittent care engagement: daily first-line oral ART or LA-CAB/RPV, both with intensive-support-services (ISS) to maximize adherence. We evaluated 4 CAB/RPV implementation scenarios: (1) Current practice (1% on CAB/RPV); (2) hypothetical Immediate/Delayed complete implementation (100% CAB/RPV after 0-4 year); (3) 2 Post-trial implementation scenarios: Post-one-arm-trial implementation (1-year trial, 5% uptake/year thereafter), Post-randomized-trial implementation (3-year trial, 15% uptake/year thereafter; and (4) Immediate incomplete implementation (1%-20% uptake/year). Outcomes were virologically suppressed person-years (VSPY) and 5-yearmortality. Inputs included cohort size 33,600, initial CD4 count of 150/µL, 6-month-VS from observational data: 23% (oral ART), 65% (LA-CAB/RPV).

resultsCurrent practice projects 35 810 VSPY and 17 640 deaths at 5 years. Immediate complete implementation increases VSPY by 26 830 and averts 3980 deaths; Delayed complete implementation produces 5370 fewer VSPY and 800 more deaths/delayed year. Post-one-arm-trial implementation yields 1700 more VSPY and 330 fewer deaths than Current practice; Post-randomized-trial implementation yields 1280 more VSPY and 270 fewer deaths. Immediate incomplete implementation at 3% and 2% uptake/year is similar to Post-one-arm-trial implementation and Post-randomized-trial implementation.

conclusionsLA-CAB/RPV for US PWH with persistent viremia and intermittent care engagement would increase VS and decrease mortality. Increased LA-CAB/RPV implementation with ISS should be undertaken while awaiting trial results.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsViremiaAdultCD4 Lymphocyte CountDiketopiperazinesFemaleHumansMaleMedication AdherenceMiddle AgedPyridonesRilpivirineUnited StatesViral LoadAnti-HIV AgentscabotegravirDiketopiperazinesPyridonesRilpivirineclinical trialsHIVimplementationlong-acting antiretroviralsresistance

Identifiers

PMID40757869
PMCPMC12415887

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.