Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40755016›Full record

ArticleJournal of global health2025

Temporal variation in the association between heatwave and mortality from mental disorders: population-based evidence from a megacity of China.

Junwen Tao, Huiting Yu, Jihong Hu, Xiling Wang, Renzhi Cai, Shan Jin, Jintao Liu, Wenjun Cheng, Yiming Gai, Chunfang Wang and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Junwen Tao *School of Public Health, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Hefei, China.
Huiting Yu *Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Jihong HuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Xiling WangSchool of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China.
Renzhi CaiShanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Shan JinShanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Jintao LiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Wenjun ChengDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Yiming GaiDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Chunfang WangShanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Xin ChenShanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.
Jian ChengDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Prolonged hot weather poses a threat to mental health. However, little is known about whether patients with mental disorders have adapted to prolonged hot weather, namely a heatwave. We aimed to analyse temporal patterns in the effect of heatwaves on mental disorders and decompose the effect of heatwave components. Methods: We analysed the impact of heatwave on mental disorder deaths in Shanghai, China between 2008-21, using a case-crossover analysis combined with a time-varying distributed lag nonlinear model. We decomposed the effect of the heatwave into two components, including the main effect from heatwave intensity and the added effect from heatwave duration. We also examined subgroup analyses by individual characteristics (gender, age, and education). Results: We analysed a total of 9953 mental disorder deaths. Heatwaves, including the main and added effects, were associated with an increased risk of death from mental disorders, with a higher risk from the main effect. For temporal variation, the main effect of heatwaves on overall mental disorder mortality declined over time, while an opposite trend was observed for suicide and dementia. In contrast, the added effect of heatwaves on total mental disorders, suicide, and dementia increased over time, whereas a decreasing trend was observed for schizophrenia. Regarding the number of deaths attributable to heatwaves, the main and added effects together accounted for 3.5 deaths per 100 000 population in total mental disorders, with about 37% attributable to the added effect. Elderly individuals and those with lower educational attainment were more vulnerable to heatwave exposures than their counterparts. Conclusions: This study suggests that heatwave intensity and duration are both risk factors for death from mental disorders, without obvious evidence of adaptation to heatwaves in total mental disorders, suicide, and dementia.

Indexed as

Extreme HeatHot TemperatureMental DisordersAdultAgedChinaCross-Over StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSuicideTime FactorsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40755016
PMCPMC12319355

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.