Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40753283›Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2025

Clinical utility of self-reported sleep duration and insomnia symptoms in type 2 diabetes prediction.

Alison K Wright, Tianyi Huang, Matthew J Carr, Arjun D Premdayal, Sushant Saluja, Hassan S Dashti, Simon G Anderson, David W Ray, Samuel E Jones, Andrew R Wood and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetologia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Alison K WrightDivision of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Gastroenterology, School of Medical Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK. alison.wright@manchester.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8418-8332
Tianyi HuangChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8420-9167
Matthew J CarrCentre for Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, Division of Pharmacy and Optometry, School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Sciences Centre, Manchester, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7336-1606
Arjun D PremdayalRoyal Liverpool University Hospital, Liverpool, UK.
Sushant SalujaDivision of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-4812-0332
Hassan S DashtiHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1650-679X
Simon G AndersonDivision of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8896-073X
David W RayNIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4739-6773
Samuel E JonesInstitute for Molecular Medicine, HiLIFE, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0153-922X
Andrew R WoodGenetics of Complex Traits, College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1726-948X
Timothy M FraylingDepartment of Genetic Medicine and Development, CMU, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8362-2603
Michael N WeedonGenetics of Complex Traits, College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6174-6135
Jacqueline M LaneDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6101-2855
Richa SaxenaDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2233-1065
Junxi LiuNuffield Department of Population Health, Oxford Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-7710-9067
Jack BowdenCollege of Medicine & Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2628-3304
Deborah A LawlorMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6793-2262
Susan RedlineHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6585-1610
Martin K RutterDivision of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Gastroenterology, School of Medical Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6380-539X

Funding

Genetics of chronotype and impact on metabolic diseaseR01DK107859 · NIDDK · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Richa Saxena · 2016 to 2026
$4.0M
Diabetes UK 17/0005700NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK107859
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisSuboptimal sleep health is linked to higher risks for incident type 2 diabetes. We aimed to assess the clinical utility of adding self-reported sleep traits to a type 2 diabetes prediction model.

methodsIn this cohort study, we used UK Biobank data and Cox proportional hazards models to examine how self-reported sleep duration and insomnia symptoms were associated with incident type 2 diabetes risk. Harrell's C statistic and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used to assess whether sleep traits improved the incident type 2 diabetes discrimination and predictive utility achieved using QDiabetes variables, with and without including a type 2 diabetes polygenic risk score (PGS). Independent replication was explored in the Nurses' Health Study, the Nurses' Health Study II and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study.

resultsExtremes of sleep duration and occasional or frequent insomnia symptoms were associated with higher risks for incident type 2 diabetes. In the UK Biobank and replication cohorts, adding sleep traits to the QDiabetes risk score did not improve type 2 diabetes prediction (C statistic: QDiabetes alone 0.8933; QDiabetes + sleep duration 0.8939; QDiabetes + insomnia 0.8931; QDiabetes + sleep traits 0.8935). The corresponding total NRI values were: 0.08 (95% CI -0.18, 0.33), 0.04 (95% CI -0.08, 0.16) and 0.04 (95% CI -0.10, 0.18). Inclusion of PGS data marginally improved the type 2 diabetes risk prediction achieved using The QDiabetes calculator, with or without the inclusion of sleep traits in the model (QDiabetes + PGS: C statistic 0.8945; total NRI 0.20 [95% CI 0.12, 0.28]; QDiabetes + PGS + sleep traits: C statistic 0.8946; total NRI 0.18 [95% CI 0.09, 0.27]). CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationWhile sleep duration and insomnia symptoms were associated with type 2 diabetes risk, they are not useful for improving type 2 diabetes prediction beyond QDiabetes model performance. Inclusion of a type 2 diabetes PGS marginally improved prediction but lacked clear clinical utility.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2SleepSleep Initiation and Maintenance DisordersAdultAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsSelf ReportSleep DurationUnited KingdomInsomniaPredictionRisk assessmentSleep deprivationType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID40753283
PMCPMC12534266

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.