Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40750285›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2025

Comorbidities and incidence of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies.

Linlong Li, Zhenzhen Li, Ping Xu, Li Huang, Xuchao Peng, Jirong Yue, Ning Ge

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Linlong LiDepartment of Geriatrics and National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4032-075X
Zhenzhen LiHealth Management Center, General Practice Center, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Ping XuSichuan University Library, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Li HuangDepartment of Geriatrics and National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Xuchao PengDepartment of Geriatrics and National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Jirong YueDepartment of Geriatrics and National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3730-779X
Ning GeDepartment of Geriatrics and National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China grace7733@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo identify comorbidities associated with incident heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and quantify their HRs for early risk stratification and prevention.

designPROSPERO-registered (CRD42024505533) systematic review and meta-analysis. Primary analysis prioritised unadjusted HRs; exploratory analysis incorporated adjusted HRs. DATA SOURCES: Ovid MEDLINE, Embase and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials through 15 June 2025. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES: Cohort studies of adults (≥18 years) without prior HF reporting HRs for incident HFpEF-associated comorbidities. EXCLUSIONS: non-English publications, reviews, non-clinical studies and studies without HR data. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed quality (Newcastle-Ottawa Scale). Random-effects models pooled HRs. Heterogeneity was investigated using Galbraith/Baujat plots, meta-regression and subgroup analyses. Publication bias assessed via funnel plots, Egger's and Begg's tests.

resultsAmong 61 eligible studies, 22 reporting unadjusted HRs formed the primary analysis, identifying five comorbidities with significant incident HFpEF risk: atrial fibrillation (AF) (HR 2.92, 95% CI 1.94 to 4.37, I²=86.6%), hypertension (HR 2.28, 95% CI 1.35 to 3.84, I²=96.9%), diabetes (HR 1.88, 95% CI 1.54 to 2.30, I²=58.2%), obesity (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.45 to 2.00, I²=69.7%) and myocardial infarction (MI) (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.18 to 2.23, I²=72.1%). Conversely, chronic kidney disease (CKD) (HR 1.44, 95% CI 0.68 to 3.06, I²=86.6%) and cerebrovascular disease (HR 1.72, 95% CI 0.93 to 3.18, I²=77.2%) showed non-significant associations. Exploratory analysis integrating unadjusted HRs from primary studies and adjusted HRs from 39 additional studies confirmed these five comorbidities as significant risk factors, with CKD again demonstrating non-significant association.

conclusionAF, hypertension, diabetes, obesity and MI constitute evidence-based targets for HFpEF risk stratification and preventive management. The CKD-HFpEF association requires validation in larger cohorts. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42024505533.

Indexed as

Heart FailureStroke VolumeAtrial FibrillationCohort StudiesComorbidityDiabetes MellitusHumansIncidenceRenal Insufficiency, ChronicRisk FactorsHeart failureMeta-AnalysisMultimorbiditySystematic Review

Identifiers

PMID40750285
PMCPMC12314942

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.