Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40746042›Full record

ArticleHealth services research2026

Association of Pathways to Success Launch With Quality inBeneficiaries With Traditional Medicare.

Meiling Ying, Addison Shay, Richard A Hirth, John M Hollingsworth, Vahakn B Shahinian, Brent K Hollenbeck

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health services research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Meiling YingDepartment of Foundations of Medicine, NYU Langone Health, Mineola, New York, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3012-9791
Addison ShayDow Division of Health Services Research, Department of Urology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Richard A HirthDepartment of Health Management and Policy, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
John M HollingsworthDepartment of Urology, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Vahakn B ShahinianDow Division of Health Services Research, Department of Urology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Brent K HollenbeckDow Division of Health Services Research, Department of Urology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

Funding

Accelerating the Shift to Downside Risk in Medicare Accountable Care Organizations: Effects on Clinical Quality and Costs among Older PatientsR01AG068074 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI HOLLENBECK, BRENT K. · 2020 to 2024
$2.0M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG068074NIH HHS R01 AG068074
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo evaluate the association between implementation of "Pathways to Success" and quality among beneficiaries cared for in Shared Savings Program accountable care organizations (ACOs). STUDY SETTING AND

designMedicare initiated "Pathways to Success" in 2019 that required upside-risk only ACOs in Shared Savings Program to transition to a two-sided risk model and prior two-sided ACOs to assume even greater financial responsibility. We examined the association between Pathways and ACO-targeted (hospitalizations for congestive heart failure [CHF] and all-cause 30-day readmissions) and nontargeted (all-cause emergency department visits without hospitalization for CHF and hospital observation stays) quality measures, using a difference-in-differences framework. DATA SOURCES AND ANALYTIC SAMPLE: Data were extracted from a 20% sample of national Medicare data from 2018 to 2020. This study included 810,070 beneficiary-quarters in 514 ACOs, and 813,855 beneficiary-quarters never attributed to an ACO (i.e., controls). PRINCIPAL

findingsImplementation of Pathways was not associated with significant relative changes in the quarterly number of CHF admissions (decreasing from 97.98 to 82.04 per 1000 beneficiaries in ACOs; differential change = 3.51 quarterly CHF admissions per 1000 beneficiaries, 95% CI, -4.82 to 11.85) or the quarterly number of emergency department visits for CHF (decreasing from 110.90 to 97.50 per 1000 beneficiaries in ACOs; differential change = 6.47 quarterly CHF emergency department visits per 1000 beneficiaries, 95% CI, -3.71 to 16.64). However, quarterly rates of 30-day all-cause readmissions increased slightly by 0.61% points (95% CI, 0.23 to 0.98; unadjusted readmissions increased from 14.49% to 14.81% in ACOs) after Pathways implementation. Observation stays remained unchanged (differential change = -0.16% points, 95% CI, -0.33 to 0.02; unadjusted observation stays increased from 3.64% to 3.94% in ACOs) after the launch of Pathways.

conclusionsMedicare's Pathways to Success, which introduced two-sided risk, was not associated with improvement in select quality measures.

Indexed as

Accountable Care OrganizationsMedicareAgedAged, 80 and overEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHeart FailureHospitalizationHumansMalePatient ReadmissionQuality Indicators, Health CareQuality of Health CareUnited Statesaccountable care organizationpathways to successquality of caretwo‐sided risk model

Identifiers

PMID40746042
PMCPMC12932017

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.