Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40745627›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2025

Using a large language model (ChatGPT) to assess risk of bias in randomized controlled trials of medical interventions: protocol for a pilot study of interrater agreement with human reviewers.

Christopher James Rose, Julia Bidonde, Martin Ringsten, Julie Glanville, Rigmor C Berg, Chris Cooper, Ashley Elizabeth Muller, Hans Bugge Bergsund, Jose F Meneses-Echavez, Thomas Potrebny

Abstract read
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Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Christopher James RoseCenter for Epidemic Interventions Research, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway. cjro@fhi.no.
Julia BidondeDivision of Health Services, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Martin RingstenCochrane Sweden, Lund University, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden.
Julie GlanvilleGlanville.info, York, UK.
Rigmor C BergCluster for Reviews and Health Technology Assessments, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Chris CooperBristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Ashley Elizabeth MullerCluster for Reviews and Health Technology Assessments, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Hans Bugge BergsundCluster for Reviews and Health Technology Assessments, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Jose F Meneses-EchavezCluster for Reviews and Health Technology Assessments, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Thomas PotrebnySection for Evidence-Based Practice, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk of bias (RoB) assessment is an essential part of systematic reviews that requires reading and understanding each eligible trial and RoB tools. RoB assessment is subject to human error and is time-consuming. Machine learning-based tools have been developed to automate RoB assessment using simple models trained on limited corpuses. ChatGPT is a conversational agent based on a large language model (LLM) that was trained on an internet-scale corpus and has demonstrated human-like abilities in multiple areas including healthcare. LLMs might be able to support systematic reviewing tasks such as assessing RoB. We aim to assess interrater agreement in overall (rather than domain-level) RoB assessment between human reviewers and ChatGPT, in randomized controlled trials of interventions within medical interventions.

methodsWe will randomly select 100 individually- or cluster-randomized, parallel, two-arm trials of medical interventions from recent Cochrane systematic reviews that have been assessed using the RoB1 or RoB2 family of tools. We will exclude reviews and trials that were performed under emergency conditions (e.g., COVID-19), as well as public health and welfare interventions. We will use 25 of the trials and human RoB assessments to engineer a ChatGPT prompt for assessing overall RoB, based on trial methods text. We will obtain ChatGPT assessments of RoB for the remaining 75 trials and human assessments. We will then estimate interrater agreement using Cohen's κ.

resultsThe primary outcome for this study is overall human-ChatGPT interrater agreement. We will report observed agreement with an exact 95% confidence interval, expected agreement under random assessment, Cohen's κ, and a p-value testing the null hypothesis of no difference in agreement. Several other analyses are also planned.

conclusionsThis study is likely to provide the first evidence on interrater agreement between human RoB assessments and those provided by LLMs and will inform subsequent research in this area.

Indexed as

Generative Artificial IntelligenceLarge Language ModelsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicBiasHumansMachine LearningObserver VariationPilot ProjectsResearch DesignRisk AssessmentSystematic Reviews as TopicArtificial intelligenceChatGPTLarge language modelMachine learningRisk of biasSystematic reviewing

Identifiers

PMID40745627
PMCPMC12315198

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.