Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40745565›Full record

ArticleJournal of translational medicine2025

Colorectal cancer epidemiology (1990-2050): lessons from the Australasian experience.

Bihua Yao, Ying Zhang, Shikun Li, Yu Tian, Milad Ashrafizadeh, Hadi Rastin, Min Tang, Yan Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of translational medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Bihua Yao *Laboratory Medicine Center, Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First People's Hospital of Jiashan affiliated to Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, Zhejiang, China.
Ying Zhang *Department of Oncology, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Bishan Hospital of Chongqing, Chongqing, 402760, China.
Shikun Li *The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China.
Yu TianResearch Center, The Huizhou Central People's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Huizhou, Guangdong, China.
Milad AshrafizadehDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University, Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, 250117, Shandong, China.
Hadi RastinIndependent Researcher, Independent, Adelaide, SA, 5005, Australia. hadirastin88@gmail.com.
Min TangDepartment of Cell and Cancer Biology, College of Medicine and Life Sciences, The University of Toledo, 3000 Transverse Drive, Toledo, OH, 43614, USA. tangmin666@cqu.edu.cn.
Yan LiDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Changzhou Fourth People's Hospital, No. 68 Honghe Road, Changzhou, China. liyan0983@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCRC is regarded as a worldwide health issue, exhibiting considerable geographic differences. The current research examines the global epidemiology of CRC (1990-2021) and forecasts trends until 2050, focusing specifically on Australasia.

methodsWe performed an extensive analysis using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study to calculate age-standardized incidence and mortality rates (ASIR/ASMR) for CRC from 1990 to 2021. Analyses were divided by sex, age, geographic area, and SDI. Temporal trends were evaluated by utilizing EAPC. We assessed the impact linked to significant modifiable risk factors such as dietary risks, elevated body mass index, alcohol consumption, smoking, and lack of physical activity using comparative risk evaluation techniques. To forecast CRC mortality until 2050, we utilized a Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model that includes demographic and temporal factors.

resultsRegions with high SDI exhibit the highest incidence of CRC but show decreasing trends, whereas regions with middle SDI are experiencing increasing burdens. Australasia, despite its historically high rates, accomplished notable reductions in mortality (-1.95% per year), positioning itself alongside Austria and Germany as frontrunners in CRC management. The rate of CRC occurrence is believed to be greater in males than in females. Dietary elements are the primary alterable risk factor worldwide, particularly in affluent areas. Forecasts and future estimates indicate additional declines in mortality rates in high-income areas, while transitioning economies face rising burdens.

conclusionThe burden of CRC is moving towards developing areas. Australasia showcases effective cancer management via screening and treatment, offering essential insights for global policies and strategies addressing changeable risks.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsAgedAustralasiaBayes TheoremFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsAustralasiaCancer epidemiologyColorectal cancerGlobal burdenSociodemographic disparities

Identifiers

PMID40745565
PMCPMC12312429

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.