Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40743243›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Depression among older adults in Norway 1995-2019: Time trends, correlates, and future projections in a population study: The HUNT study.

Maria Lage Barca, Eivind Aakhus, Ellen Melbye Langballe, Thomas Hansen, Ragnhild Holmberg Aunsmo, Geir Selbæk, Steinar Krokstad, Bjørn Heine Strand

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Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Maria Lage BarcaThe Norwegian National Centre for Ageing and Health, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-3467-0444
Eivind AakhusThe Norwegian National Centre for Ageing and Health, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9336-3203
Ellen Melbye LangballeThe Norwegian National Centre for Ageing and Health, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.
Thomas HansenDepartment for Mental Health and Suicide, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Ragnhild Holmberg AunsmoThe Norwegian National Centre for Ageing and Health, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.
Geir SelbækThe Norwegian National Centre for Ageing and Health, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6511-8219
Steinar KrokstadHUNT Research Centre, Department of Public Health and Nursing, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, NTNU, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2932-6675
Bjørn Heine StrandThe Norwegian National Centre for Ageing and Health, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo investigate patterns and correlates of depression among Norwegian older adults (age 70+), 1995-2019, and estimate the number of older adults with depression by 2050.

designPopulation-based cross-sectional study. SETTING AND

participantsThree surveys of the Trøndelag Health Study (Norway): HUNT2 (1995-96), HUNT3 (2007-08), and HUNT4 (2017-19). 22,822 home dwellers aged 70 + who participated in at least one of the three surveys.

methodsDepression was defined as scores ≥8 on the depression subscale of the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale. Covariates included sex, age, education, marital status, and reported loneliness. Depression prevalence (%) was standardized to the Norwegian population by age, sex, and education for years close to the initial HUNT survey year (1995, 2006, and 2016). Projection of the total number of individuals with depression in the coming decades were estimated. Predictors of depression were analyzed with logistic regression and the potential reduction in depression prevalence by reducing the prevalence of loneliness was estimated.

resultsStandardized depression prevalence decreased from 16.7% (HUNT2) to 14.9% (HUNT3), and 11.5% (HUNT4), and was highest among men, the oldest (85+), the lower-educated, and in earlier surveys (all p < 0.001). Living alone was also associated with higher depression prevalence, but only if loneliness was present. While depression rates are falling, we expect the number of depressed individuals to double by 2050 as the population ages. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Depression rates among adults aged 70 + decreased by 50% from 1995 to 2019, but less so among the oldest old. The rates were highest among single older men. Despite decreasing prevalence, the number of depressed older adults will increase significantly in the future. Given the major individual and societal costs of depression, this trend is alarming for societies preparing for the challenges posed by population aging. This can, however, be addressed by addressing predictors of depression.

Indexed as

DepressionAgedAged, 80 and overCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansLonelinessMaleNorwayPrevalence

Identifiers

PMID40743243
PMCPMC12312915

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