Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40742017›Full record

ReviewAnnals of botany2025

Beyond the Grant-Stebbins model: floral adaptive landscapes and plant speciation.

Kathleen M Kay, Bruce Anderson

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Annals of botany, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Floral Scents of DeceptiveEcology and evolution · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Kathleen M KayDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA.
Bruce AndersonDepartment of Botany and Zoology, Stellenbosch University, Matieland 7602, South Africa.

Funding

National Research Foundation 137988National Science Foundation DEB 1737889
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFloral diversity, a striking feature of angiosperm evolution, provides the impetus and rationale for linking pollinator-driven selection to speciation processes. Perhaps the most widely adopted model for pollinator-driven speciation is the Grant-Stebbins model, in which plant populations locally adapt to the most effective pollinator, leading to floral ecotype formation and, eventually, reproductive isolation and speciation. However, modelling and empirical studies suggest that populations need not adapt to the most effective pollinator, and major floral transitions remain poorly explained. SCOPE: We evaluate the Grant-Stebbins model, focusing especially on the most effective pollinator principle. We use floral adaptive landscapes to articulate a more complete and accurate framework for understanding floral adaptation, starting with the premise that plants evolve to maximize fitness. We highlight ways to improve the assessment of pollinator fitness functions, both singly and in combination. We show how floral adaptive landscapes can be used to describe processes of floral adaptation within populations, evolutionary transitions between floral phenotypes, and a variety of real-world situations that do not fit neatly under the Grant-Stebbins model. Finally, we evaluate how floral adaptive landscapes can clarify the role of pollination in speciation under a variety of species concepts.

conclusionsThe Grant-Stebbins model, while inspiring decades of empirical studies, is a caricature of pollinator-driven speciation and explains only a limited range of adaptive outcomes. By using adaptive landscapes, we acknowledge that flowers are not adaptations to the most effective pollinator, but adaptations to maximize fitness, making evolutionary shifts between distinct floral phenotypes easier to understand in multi-pollinator environments. Finally, we argue that while pollinators often drive floral divergence, speciation most likely results from simultaneous divergence in multiple niche axes across a geographic range, which has been underemphasized in plant speciation research.

Indexed as

FlowersGenetic SpeciationMagnoliopsidaAdaptation, PhysiologicalBiological EvolutionModels, BiologicalPollinationAngiospermsfloral adaptive landscapesflowersGrant–Stebbins modelmost effective pollinator principlenatural selectionplant speciationpollination

Identifiers

PMID40742017
PMCPMC12464951

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.