Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40740474›Full record

ArticleKDD : proceedings. International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining2018

Deep Multi-Output Forecasting: Learning to Accurately Predict Blood Glucose Trajectories.

Ian Fox, Lynn Ang, Mamta Jaiswal, Rodica Pop-Busui, Jenna Wiens

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in KDD : proceedings. International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

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  5. A Review of Recurrent Neural Network-Based Methods in Computational Physiology.IEEE transactions on neural networks and learning systems · 2023
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ian FoxCSE, University of Michigan.
Lynn AngInternal Medicine, University of Michigan.
Mamta JaiswalInternal Medicine, University of Michigan.
Rodica Pop-BusuiInternal Medicine, University of Michigan.
Jenna WiensCSE, University of Michigan.

Funding

Cardiac Autonomic Neuropathy and Myocardial Dysfunction in Type 1 DiabetesR01HL102334 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BUSUI (POP-BUSUI), RODICA · 2010 to 2014
$2.3M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL102334
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In many forecasting applications, it is valuable to predict not only the value of a signal at a certain time point in the future, but also the values leading up to that point. This is especially true in clinical applications, where the future state of the patient can be less important than the patient's overall trajectory. This requires multi-step forecasting, a forecasting variant where one aims to predict multiple values in the future simultaneously. Standard methods to accomplish this can propagate error from prediction to prediction, reducing quality over the long term. In light of these challenges, we propose multi-output deep architectures for multi-step forecasting in which we explicitly model the distribution of future values of the signal over a prediction horizon. We apply these techniques to the challenging and clinically relevant task of blood glucose forecasting. Through a series of experiments on a real-world dataset consisting of 550K blood glucose measurements, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approaches in capturing the underlying signal dynamics. Compared to existing shallow and deep methods, we find that our proposed approaches improve performance individually and capture complementary information, leading to a large improvement over the baseline when combined (4.87

Identifiers

PMID40740474
PMCPMC12308638

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.