ArticleCancer biology & medicine2025
Cancer mortality trends in China from 2013-2021 and projections to 2030.
Article in Cancer biology & medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- The impact of previous history of malignant tumors/precancerous lesions on IVF/ICSI outcomes: a retrospective cohort study.Annals of medicine · 2026Article
- Safety assessment of autologous ovarian tissue cryopreservation and transplantation in cancer patients: an updated review.Journal of ovarian research · 2026Review
- Carbohydrate responsive element binding protein promotes colorectal carcinogenesis via Wnt/β-catenin pathway.Oncogene · 2026Article
- A Retrospective Cohort Analysis of Risk Factors for Lymph Node Metastasis in Multiple Primary Lung Cancer with 215 Cases.Cancer management and research · 2026Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectiveThis study aimed to analyze the temporal trends in cancer mortality in China from 2013-2021 and project the future trends through 2030.
methodsThis study was based on the China Causes of Death Surveillance Dataset, which covers 2.37 billion person-years. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were calculated using Segi's world standard population and the trends were evaluated
resultsThe combined ASMRs for all cancers decreased annually by 2.3%, driven by significant declines in esophageal (4.8%), stomach (4.5%), and liver cancers (2.7%). In contrast, the pancreatic and prostate cancer ASMRs increased by 2.0% and 3.4% annually, respectively. Urban areas demonstrated a more rapid decline in the combined ASMRs for all cancers [average annual percent change (AAPC) = -3.0% in urban areas
conclusionsThe cancer burden in China is facing the dual challenges of population aging and urban-rural disparities. It is necessary to prioritize rural screening, control risk factors, such as smoking and diet, and integrate more efficacious cancer prevention and control programmes into the policy to reduce mortality in the future.
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