Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40739919›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2025

Challenges and opportunities of ML and explainable AI in large-sample hydrology.

Louise Slater, Georgios Blougouras, Liangkun Deng, Qimin Deng, Emma Ford, Anne Hoek van Dijke, Feini Huang, Shijie Jiang, Yinxue Liu, Simon Moulds and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Adapting water resource systems to a changing future: challenges for UK hydrology in the 21st century.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025
    Article
  6. Hydrology in the 21st century: challenges in science, to policy and practice.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025
    Article
  7. Why people matter in 21st century hydrology: lessons learnt from flood forecasting and warning.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Louise SlaterSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9416-488X
Georgios BlougourasDepartment of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Thüringen, Germany.ORCID 0009-0006-0746-8214
Liangkun DengSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Qimin DengSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4858-8451
Emma FordSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0009-0004-7208-3826
Anne Hoek van DijkeDepartment of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Thüringen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0354-8517
Feini HuangDepartment of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Thüringen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3389-1562
Shijie JiangDepartment of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Thüringen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2808-9559
Yinxue LiuSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5250-0184
Simon MouldsSchool of GeoSciences, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7297-482X
Andrew SchepenCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Dutton Park, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6372-735X
Jiabo YinState Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0002-2305-8729
Boen ZhangSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4633-3033

Funding

Carl-Zeiss-StiftungDeutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaUK Research and Innovation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) is a powerful tool for hydrological modelling, prediction, dataset creation and the generation of insights into hydrological processes. As such, ML has become integral to the field of large-sample hydrology, where hundreds to thousands of river catchments are included within a single ML model to capture diverse hydrological behaviours and improve model generalizability. This manuscript outlines recent advances in ML for large-sample hydrology. We review new tools in explainable AI (XAI) and interpretability approaches, as well as challenges in these areas. Key research avenues for large-sample hydrology include addressing variability in interpretations resulting from different ML models and XAI techniques, enhancing hydrological predictions in data-sparse and human-impacted regions, reducing the 'cascade of uncertainty' inherent in hydrological modelling, developing improved methods for multivariate prediction and identifying causal relationships.This article is part of the discussion meeting issue 'Hydrology in the 21st century: challenges in science, to policy and practice'.

Indexed as

artificial intelligenceexplainable AIhydrologyinterpretable AImachine learningXAI

Identifiers

PMID40739919
PMCPMC12334205

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.