Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40739346›Full record

ArticleNature2025

Tropical response to ocean circulation slowdown raises future drought risk.

Pedro N DiNezio, Timothy M Shanahan, Tianyi Sun, Chijun Sun, Xian Wu, Allison Lawman, David Lea, Masa Kageyama, Ute Merkel, Matthias Prange and 2 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Patagonian Ice Sheet discharge enhanced by AMOC slowdown through thermal bipolar seesaw.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Pedro N DiNezioDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA. pedro.dinezio@colorado.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-5201-3300
Timothy M ShanahanDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3831-3198
Tianyi SunEnvironmental Defense Fund, Austin, TX, USA.
Chijun SunEarth and Planetary Sciences Department, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3668-346X
Xian WuThe Department of Sustainable Earth Systems Sciences, The University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8117-6603
Allison LawmanEnvironmental Studies and Science Program, Colorado College, Colorado, Springs CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8488-5058
David LeaDepartment of Earth Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.
Masa KageyamaLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat, l'Environnement/Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.
Ute MerkelMARUM-Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9851-0575
Matthias PrangeMARUM-Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5874-756X
Bette Otto-BliesnerClimate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1911-1598
Xu ZhangBritish Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1833-9689

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Projections of tropical rainfall under global warming remain highly uncertain

Indexed as

DroughtsTropical ClimateWater MovementsAtlantic OceanClimate ModelsGlobal WarmingIndian OceanPacific OceanRainRiskSeawaterWind

Identifiers

PMID40739346

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.