Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40735999›Full record

ArticleJournal of managed care & specialty pharmacy2025

First-line cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitors in combination with an aromatase inhibitor for HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer: A real-world cost-effectiveness assessment in a US Medicare-eligible population.

Lucille Sun, David L Veenstra, Adam Brufsky, Timothy Pluard, Rickard Sandin, Stella Stergiopoulos, Xianchen Liu, Troy Williams, Sean D Sullivan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of managed care & specialty pharmacy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Lucille SunCurta Inc., Seattle, WA.
David L VeenstraCurta Inc., Seattle, WA.
Adam BrufskyHillman Cancer Center, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, PA.
Timothy PluardSaint Luke's Cancer Institute, Kansas City, MO.
Rickard SandinPfizer AB, Stockholm, Sweden.
Stella StergiopoulosPfizer Inc., New York, NY.
Xianchen LiuPfizer Inc., New York, NY.
Troy WilliamsCurta Inc., Seattle, WA.
Sean D SullivanCurta Inc., Seattle, WA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) metastatic breast cancer (mBC), cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitors (CDK4/6is) in combination with an aromatase inhibitor (AI) are the preferred first-line (1L) treatment. Although prior cost-effectiveness models comparing CDK4/6is palbociclib, ribociclib, and abemaciclib have used data from placebo-controlled clinical trials, no analyses in the United States have been conducted using real-world evidence (RWE) for a US Medicare-eligible population.

objectiveTo estimate the long-term clinical outcomes and health care costs of 1L CDK4/6i treatment in patients aged 65 years and older using RWE.

methodsWe developed a partitioned survival model to project patient time in progression-free and progressed disease health states. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) curves for palbociclib + AI were obtained from an analysis of patients aged 65 years and older treated 1L for HR+/HER2- mBC using the Flatiron Health Analytic Database (Flatiron). Adjusted comparative effectiveness estimates vs palbociclib + AI for both ribociclib + AI (PFS hazard ratio = 0.98 [95% CI = 0.86-1.13]; OS hazard ratio = 1.01 [95% CI: 0.87-1.18]) and abemaciclib + AI (PFS hazard ratio = 0.99 [95% CI = 0.86-1.15]; OS hazard ratio = 1.00 [95% CI = 0.84-1.19]) were obtained from the same analysis. All-cause medical costs and CDK4/6i drug costs were based on an analysis of patients aged 65 years and older in Optum Clinformatics DataMart. We used a Medicare perspective over a lifetime horizon for a cohort of patients with mean age of 73.7 years. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of results to plausible variation in input values.

resultsProjected life-years (LYs) with palbociclib + AI, ribociclib + AI, and abemaciclib + AI were similar: 5.16 (95% credible range [CR] = 4.94-5.35), 5.12 (95% CR = 4.53-5.82), and 5.16 (95% CR = 4.49-5.90), respectively. Total lifetime health care costs were also similar ($865,000 [95% CR = $807,400-$925,000], $866,800 [95% CR = $786,000-$965,000], and $901,000 [95% CR = $809,000-$1,004,600], respectively). Sensitivity analyses further supported no differences in LYs or total costs between CDK4/6is.

conclusionsBased on effectiveness and cost estimates from real-world data, our analyses suggest that palbociclib, ribociclib, and abemaciclib produce similar life expectancy and health care costs in US patients aged 65 years and older with HR+/HER2- mBC.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsAromatase InhibitorsBreast NeoplasmsCyclin-Dependent Kinase 4Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 6AgedAged, 80 and overAminopyridinesBenzimidazolesCost-Benefit AnalysisErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleHumansMedicarePiperazinesProgression-Free SurvivalabemaciclibAminopyridinesAromatase InhibitorsBenzimidazolesCDK4 protein, humanCDK6 protein, humanCyclin-Dependent Kinase 4Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 6ERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasespalbociclibPiperazinesProtein Kinase InhibitorsPurinesPyridinesReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, Progesteroneribociclib

Identifiers

PMID40735999
PMCPMC12467758

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.