A Framework for Predicting Winter Wheat Yield in Northern China with Triple Cross-Attention and Multi-Source Data Fusion.

To solve the issue that existing yield prediction methods do not fully capture the interaction between multiple factors, we propose a winter wheat yield prediction framework with triple cross-attention for multi-source data fusion. This framework consists of three modules: a multi-source data processing module, a multi-source feature fusion module, and a yield prediction module. The multi-source data processing module collects satellite, climate, and soil data based on the winter wheat planting range, and constructs a multi-source feature sequence set by combining statistical data. The multi-source feature fusion module first extracts deeper-level feature information based on the characteristics of different data, and then performs multi-source feature fusion through a triple cross-attention fusion mechanism. The encoder part in the production prediction module adds a graph attention mechanism, forming a dual branch with the original multi-head self-attention mechanism to ensure the capture of global dependencies while enhancing the preservation of local feature information. The decoder section generates the final predicted output. The results show that: (1) Using 2021 and 2022 as test sets, the mean absolute error of our method is 385.99 kg/hm