Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40730479›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2025

Risk of adolescent cigarette use in three UK birth cohorts before and after e-cigarettes.

Jessica M Mongilio, Jeremy Staff, Christopher H Seto, Jennifer L Maggs, Rebecca J Evans-Polce

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jessica M MongilioCenter for the Study of Drugs, Alcohol, Smoking and Health, Department of Health Behavior and Clinical Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA jemongi@umich.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0649-8404
Jeremy StaffDepartment of Sociology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA.
Christopher H SetoDepartment of Sociology, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA.
Jennifer L MaggsDepartment of Human Development and Family Studies, Penn State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA.
Rebecca J Evans-PolceCenter for the Study of Drugs, Alcohol, Smoking and Health, Department of Health Behavior and Clinical Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

Funding

E-Cigarette Use among U.S. Adolescents and Young Adults: Longitudinal Associations with Tobacco Use and Health and Dimensions of Risk and ProtectionR01CA270546 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI EVANS-POLCE, REBECCA J · 2023 to 2025
$1.1M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA270546
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveLongitudinal data from three UK birth cohorts (born in 1958, 1970 and 2001) were used to (1) document the historic decline in adolescent cigarette smoking; (2) examine how e-cigarette use is associated with adolescent cigarette smoking in the most recent cohort; and (3) compare probabilities of cigarette smoking across the cohorts.

methodsThe prevalence of adolescent cigarette smoking was assessed in 1974 from 11 969 youth in the National Child Development Study (NCDS), in 1986 from 6222 youth in the British Cohort Study (BCS), and in 2018 from 9733 youth in the Millennium Cohort Study (MCS). Logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds of adolescent smoking (ages 16-17) based on a common set of childhood risk and protective factors; adolescent e-cigarette use was included as a predictor in the more recent MCS.

resultsAdolescent cigarette smoking declined from 33% in 1974 to 25% in 1986 and to 12% in 2018. 11% of MCS youth reported current e-cigarette use. Though childhood risk factors for later adolescent smoking were mostly similar across the three cohorts, the risk of cigarette smoking in the MCS varied greatly by e-cigarette use. Among MCS youth, the average predicted probability of smoking ranged from 1% among e-cigarette naïve youth to 33% among youth currently using e-cigarettes.

conclusionsAdolescents who use e-cigarettes have a similar smoking prevalence to earlier generations. Policy and prevention should seek to prevent adolescent nicotine exposure via both electronic and combustible cigarettes.

Indexed as

Electronic nicotine delivery devicesNicotinePrevention

Identifiers

PMID40730479
PMCPMC12313170

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.