Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40729354›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Cost-effectiveness assessment of liquid biopsy for early detection of lung cancer in Brazil.

Kátia Marie Senna, Ivan Ricardo Zimmermann, Márcia Gisele Santos da Costa, Bernardo Rangel Tura, José Ronyeryson Dos Santos Evangelista, Marisa Santos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Kátia Marie SennaCentre of Technology Assessment in Health, National Institute of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Ivan Ricardo ZimmermannCentre of Technology Assessment in Health, National Institute of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Márcia Gisele Santos da CostaCentre of Technology Assessment in Health, National Institute of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Bernardo Rangel TuraCentre of Technology Assessment in Health, National Institute of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
José Ronyeryson Dos Santos EvangelistaCentre of Technology Assessment in Health, National Institute of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-3490-0022
Marisa SantosCentre of Technology Assessment in Health, National Institute of Cardiology, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2174-6800

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionLung cancer has a low survival rate due to late diagnosis, with most cases detected at advanced stages. Liquid biopsy, a non-invasive alternative to tissue biopsy, has emerged as a potential screening tool for early lung cancer detection. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of liquid biopsy screening using an autoantibody test (EarlyCDT-Lung®) in high-risk populations from the perspective of the Brazilian Unified Health System (SUS).

methodsA decision-analytic model was developed, combining a decision tree and a Markov model to compare two strategies: standard clinical diagnosis without screening and liquid biopsy screening followed by confirmatory diagnostics. Model inputs included test accuracy, treatment costs, and survival data derived from systematic reviews, national registries, and published economic evaluations. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Sensitivity analyses assessed model robustness.

resultsLiquid biopsy screening analysis of a hypothetical cohort of 1,000 individuals at high-risk of lung cancer resulted in an incremental cost of $ 570,120 and an incremental effectiveness of 7.56 QALYs, with an ICER of $ 75,435.63 per QALY gained. This result has far exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold in Brazil ($ 7,017.54-21,052.62/QALY). Therefore, in case of assuming no significant cost reductions or accuracy improvements, the strategy would only become cost-effective in contexts where lung cancer prevalence exceeds 4.0%. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed a low likelihood of cost-effectiveness, even with varying test sensitivity, lung cancer prevalence, and cost assumptions. DISCUSSION: The adoption of an autoantibody test as a liquid biopsy for early lung cancer screening in high-risk populations in Brazil led to increased costs and was not considered cost-effective under the thresholds commonly applied in the Brazilian context.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisEarly Detection of CancerLung NeoplasmsBrazilDecision TreesFemaleHumansLiquid BiopsyMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life Years

Identifiers

PMID40729354
PMCPMC12306772

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.