Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40722097›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2025

Global, regional, and national burden of idiopathic epilepsy in older adults, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Jie Xue, Xiaopan Li, Yajun Zhao, Wenchang Jia, Xiaoling Wu, Sunfang Jiang, Jing Ding

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jie Xue *Department of Neurology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, 180 Fenglin Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Xiaopan Li *Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Yajun Zhao *Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Wenchang JiaDepartment of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Xiaoling WuDepartment of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Sunfang JiangDepartment of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China. jiang.sunfang@zs-hospital.sh.cn.
Jing DingDepartment of Neurology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, 180 Fenglin Road, Shanghai, 200032, China. ding.jing@zs-hospital.sh.cn.

Funding

National Key R&D Program of China 2022YFC2503802Shanghai Action Plan for Science, Technology and Innovation 23JS1401000Shanghai Public Health System Construction Three-year Action Plan Key Discipline Construction Program GWVI-11.1-44; to author SJ
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEpilepsy among older populations has emerged as a growing global health concern in recent decades. However, comprehensive analyses of epilepsy burden among older adults are limited. This study aimed to assess the global burden of idiopathic epilepsy in the population aged 60 and above from 1990 to 2021 and project trends through 2035.

methodsUsing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2021, we analyzed epilepsy-related metrics including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) across 204 countries and territories, stratified by age, sex, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Data analysis encompassed relative change calculations, as well as average annual percentage change (AAPC). Additionally, we performed a decomposition analysis to determine the contributions of population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes, and used Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) modeling to project future burden through 2035.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, the global burden of idiopathic epilepsy in older adults increased substantially, with rises in age-standardized incidence (26.64%), prevalence (20.01%), mortality (4.45%), and DALYs (0.32%). Males consistently showed higher burden across metrics. Regional analysis revealed significant disparities, with Western Europe reporting the highest age-standardized incidence rate and Andean Latin America the highest prevalence rate in 2021. Higher SDI regions demonstrated better outcomes in mortality and DALYs, though showing unique increases in age-standardized rates. Population growth emerged as the primary driver of increased burden across regions. Projections through 2035 indicate continuing increases in incidence (AAPC: 1.64%) and prevalence (AAPC: 1.34%) rates, while mortality (AAPC: -1.29%) and DALY (AAPC: -0.12%) rates are expected to decline.

conclusionsThe global burden of idiopathic epilepsy in older adults has increased significantly, with notable disparities across regions and socioeconomic levels. While projected declines in mortality and DALY rates suggest improving healthcare outcomes, rising incidence and prevalence rates highlight the need for enhanced prevention strategies and specialized geriatric epilepsy care, particularly in resource-limited settings.

Indexed as

EpilepsyGlobal Burden of DiseaseAgedAged, 80 and overDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceBurden of diseaseElderlyEpidemiologyEpilepsyTrends

Identifiers

PMID40722097
PMCPMC12306114

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.