Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40711954›Full record

ArticlePain medicine (Malden, Mass.)2026

Phenotypes of patients with symptomatic lumbar spinal stenosis presenting for nonoperative care: baseline data from the Lumbar Stenosis Prognostic Subgroups for Personalizing Care and Treatment Study (PROSPECTS).

Sean D Rundell, Eric N Meier, Jeffrey G Jarvik, Janna L Friedly, Maggie E Horn, Pradeep Suri, Amy M Cizik, Patrick J Heagerty, Sandra K Johnston, Rebecca Fillipo and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pain medicine (Malden, Mass.), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Sean D RundellDepartment of Rehabilitation Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-0782-5999
Eric N MeierClinical Learning, Evidence, and Research Center, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Jeffrey G JarvikClinical Learning, Evidence, and Research Center, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Janna L FriedlyDepartment of Rehabilitation Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Maggie E HornDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Pradeep SuriDepartment of Rehabilitation Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Amy M CizikDepartment of Orthopaedics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States.
Patrick J HeagertyClinical Learning, Evidence, and Research Center, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Sandra K JohnstonClinical Learning, Evidence, and Research Center, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Rebecca FillipoDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Colleen BurkeDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Stephanie T DanylukDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Kelley SeebeckDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Adam P GoodeDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.

Funding

UW Core Center for Clinical Research of Musculoskeletal ConditionsP30AR072572 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI JEFFREY G JARVIK, Pradeep Suri · 2017 to 2026
$8.3M
Lumbar Stenosis Prognostic Subgroups for Personalizing Care and Treatment (PROSPECTS)R01AG069891 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI RUNDELL, SEAN DANIEL · 2020 to 2024
$2.9M
Center for Musculoskeletal ResearchNIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR072572NIA NIH HHS R01 AG069891NIH HHS P30AR072572NIH HHS R01AG069891University of Washington Clinical Learning, Evidence, and Research
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study describes the enrollment and baseline characteristics of participants in the Lumbar Stenosis Prognostic Subgroups for Personalizing Care and Treatment Study (PROSPECTS) cohort and explores subgroups of patients presenting for nonoperative care.

designCross-sectional study. SETTING AND SUBJECTS: We enrolled adults ≥50 years of age initiating nonoperative care for symptomatic lumbar spinal stenosis. We excluded those with serious spinal pathology, conditions limiting ambulation, and prior or planned lumbar surgery.

methodsWe collected demographics, the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) 29, pain intensity, Oswestry Disability Index, Swiss Spinal Stenosis Questionnaire, chronicity of symptoms, pain sites, comorbidities, falls, and opioid use. We used descriptive statistics to characterize the sample and latent class analysis to derive subgroups with distinct phenotypes. The best model was selected on the basis of model fit statistics, class separation, and clinical interpretability.

resultsWe enrolled 598 participants. The mean age was 67 (SD = 9), and 61% were female. Back and leg pain had been present for ≥1 year in 65% of participants. Multiple pain sites were common, with a mean of 4.3 sites (SD = 2.2), and a majority of patients had multiple comorbidities (54%). We selected a 4-class solution as the best model from the latent class analysis. These phenotypes were described as (1) "high pain impact, low psychosocial features" (n = 233; 39%), (2) "mild pain impact, low psychosocial features" (n = 218; 36%), (3) "high pain impact, complex health needs" (n = 95; 16%), and (4) "acute, intermittent, moderate-severe leg pain with high pain impact" (n = 52; 9%).

conclusionsThese phenotypes reflect distinct profiles that could inform health needs and patient-centered care. Future studies should examine longitudinal outcomes to establish their clinical utility and prognostic value.

Indexed as

Lumbar VertebraeSpinal StenosisAgedCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPain MeasurementPatient Reported Outcome MeasuresPhenotypePrecision MedicinePrognosisclassificationpainspinal stenosisspine

Identifiers

PMID40711954
PMCPMC12972681

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.