Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40707937›Full record

ArticleBMC pulmonary medicine2025

Assessing the global burden of interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis using multiple statistical models: analysis and future projections.

Luna Zhao, Yue Zhou, Yun Jia, Lang Wang, Ye Liu, Guizhen Lv, Yihao Zhang, Jinyang Li, Junfeng Ren, Hongzheng Liu and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Luna ZhaoDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China.
Yue ZhouShihezi University School of Medicine, Shihezi, China.
Yun JiaShihezi University School of Medicine, Shihezi, China.
Lang WangShihezi University School of Medicine, Shihezi, China.
Ye LiuDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China.
Guizhen LvShihezi University School of Medicine, Shihezi, China.
Yihao ZhangShihezi University School of Medicine, Shihezi, China.
Jinyang LiShihezi University School of Medicine, Shihezi, China.
Junfeng RenDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region People's Hospital, Urumqi, China.
Hongzheng LiuDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China.
Yufeng ZhangShihezi University School of Medicine, Shihezi, China.
Ning WangDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China.
Wenwen ZhangDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China.
Wenqiang MoDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China.
Jiaqi LiuDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China.
Yilin WangShihezi University School of Medicine, Shihezi, China.
Junhao MaSchool of Public Health, Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, China.
Chao WuDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China.
Dong LiuDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107 North Second Road Hongshan Street, Shihezi, China. 2322800100@qq.com.
GBD Collaborator

Funding

Corps Guiding Science and Technology Program Projects 2023ZD019
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInterstitial lung disease (ILD) and pulmonary sarcoidosis (PS) constitute major global health challenges, characterized by progressive respiratory symptoms and diverse epidemiological trends. Although the incidence and mortality rates of ILD and PS have increased following the COVID-19 pandemic, comprehensive research examining their burden and associated risk factors remains limited. Therefore, the present study aimed to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution, gender-specific and age-related disparities, and sociodemographic determinants of ILD and PS from 1990 to 2021 to facilitate evidence-based targeted interventions.

methodsBy using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database, we analyzed age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rate (ASDR) across 204 countries/regions. Temporal trends were evaluated using average annual percentage change (AAPC), age-period-cohort (APC), and Bayesian APC (BAPC) models. Decomposition analysis and Pearson's correlation analysis were conducted to assess the impact of aging, population growth, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Joinpoint regression was used to identify inflection points in trends. Future disease burdens (2021-2050) were projected through BAPC modeling.

resultsGlobal ILD and PS cases increased from 157,441.17 in 1990 to 390,267.11 in 2021, with an annual increase in ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR by 0.61%, 1.32%, and 0.83%, respectively. High-SDI regions exhibited the highest ASIR (71.4/100,000) and ASMR (25.5/100,000). Males exhibited greater disease burdens than females ASDR 57.79/100,000 vs. 39.49/100,000 in 2021), with a peak incidence in the 70-74 age group. SDI showed positive correlations with ASIR and ASMR, exhibiting U-shaped relationships in certain regions. Projections indicated stable ASMR but increasing ASIR and ASDR by 2050, particularly among males.

conclusionsThe global burden of ILD and PS has increased markedly since 1990, influenced by population aging, industrial development, and socioeconomic disparities. Prioritizing early screening (e.g., high-resolution computed tomography and serum biomarkers), minimizing environmental and occupational exposures, and implementing gender-/age-specific interventions are critical measures. Strengthening healthcare infrastructure in low-SDI regions and integrating advanced diagnostic technologies are crucial for reducing future disease burdens.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseLung Diseases, InterstitialSarcoidosis, PulmonaryAdultAgedBayes TheoremCOVID-19Disability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalRisk FactorsAge-period-cohort modelEpidemiologyGlobal burden of diseaseInterstitial lung diseasePulmonary sarcoidosis

Identifiers

PMID40707937
PMCPMC12291490

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.