Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40707646›Full record

ArticleBJC reports2025

Circulating tumor DNA monitoring detects minimal residual disease and predicts outcomes in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma after esophagectomy.

Qingjiang Hu, Yasue Kimura, Shinichiro Ikeda, Yasushi Tanaka, Tomonori Nakanoko, Mitsuhiko Ota, Tomoharu Yoshizumi, Masatoshi Eto, Eiji Oki

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJC reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Practical integration of ctDNA-defined minimal residual disease in gastrointestinal cancers: testing windows and evidence-aligned management frameworks.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Review
  4. [Clinical strategies for perioperative management of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in the immunotherapy era].Beijing da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Peking University. Health sciences · 2026
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Qingjiang Hu *Department of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Yasue Kimura *Department of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Shinichiro IkedaDepartment of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Yasushi TanakaDepartment of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Tomonori NakanokoDepartment of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Mitsuhiko OtaDepartment of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Tomoharu YoshizumiDepartment of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Masatoshi EtoDepartment of Urology, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Eiji OkiDepartment of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan. oki.eiji.857@m.kyushu-u.ac.jp.

Funding

Joint research funding provided by Denka Co., Ltd. none
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCirculating tumor DNA (ctDNA) monitoring shows promise for detecting minimal residual disease (MRD) and predicting prognosis in various cancers, but its role in esophageal cancer (EC) post-esophagectomy is unclear. This study evaluated ctDNA for detecting MRD and predicting outcomes in EC patients.

methodsA two-step observational study included 40 EC patients (36 squamous cell carcinoma and 4 adenocarcinoma) undergoing upfront surgery or neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by esophagectomy. Plasma samples (n = 124) were collected at six time points, and ctDNA was assessed by next-generation sequencing using an in-house cancer panel. Associations with clinical outcomes were analyzed.

resultsPre-therapy ctDNA levels correlated with tumor stage (P = 0.01). Changes in ctDNA levels predicted tumor progression with an area under the curve of 0.77. Postsurgical ctDNA positivity predicted recurrence earlier than radiographic evidence (median: 90 days) and was associated with shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) across all patients (RFS hazard ratio [HR]: 11.1, P = 0.006; PFS HR: 12.6, P = 0.002).

conclusionsctDNA assessment is a reliable tool for detecting MRD and predicting outcomes in EC patients after esophagectomy. This approach provides earlier indications of recurrence and can guide personalized postoperative management.

Identifiers

PMID40707646
PMCPMC12290085

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.