Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40707434›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Ocean tides trigger ice shelf rift growth and calving.

O J Marsh, R J Arthern, J De Rydt

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

O J MarshBritish Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, UK. olrs@bas.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7874-514X
R J ArthernBritish Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, UK.
J De RydtNorthumbria University, Newcastle, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2978-8706

Funding

RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/X011372/1RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/X014991/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tabular iceberg calving reduces ice-shelf extent, affecting ocean circulation and ice-sheet stability. Here we present detailed observations of a rift on the Brunt Ice Shelf, East Antarctica, from 2017-2023 and its behaviour in the lead up to calving in January 2023. The timing of rift propagation was controlled by the rate of change of ocean tide height, wind speed, and an iceberg collision in August 2021, as well as the long-term ice dynamics. A viscoelastic rheological model is used to estimate the relative magnitude of stresses acting on the rift and to determine a critical threshold for fracture, which was exceeded during a sequence of propagation events in early 2019. The eventual calving on 22nd January 2023 occurred at the peak of a spring tide, supporting the conclusion that tides directly influenced the timing.

Identifiers

PMID40707434
PMCPMC12290053

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.