Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40706260›Full record

ArticleSeminars in arthritis and rheumatism2025

Estimating the incidence of autoimmune inflammatory arthritis after Lyme disease.

John B Miller, Brittany L Adler, Ana-Maria Orbai, Ami A Shah, Elizabeth Szymanski, Laura M Prichett, John N Aucott

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Seminars in arthritis and rheumatism, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

John B MillerDivision of Rheumatology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine. Electronic address: JMill237@jhmi.edu.
Brittany L AdlerDivision of Rheumatology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine.
Ana-Maria OrbaiDivision of Rheumatology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine.
Ami A ShahDivision of Rheumatology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine.
Elizabeth SzymanskiBEAD Core, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine.
Laura M PrichettBEAD Core, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine.
John N AucottDivision of Rheumatology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine.

Funding

Harnessing multivariate patient- and population-level disease trajectories to predict major clinical events in sclerodermaK24AR080217 · NIAMS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Ami Aalok Shah · 2022 to 2026
$847k
NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR080217
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveA previous case series described the development of new autoimmune, inflammatory arthritis (IA) developing within 2 years of Lyme disease (LD). This study aimed to estimate the incidence of IA following LD using administrative claims data. Influenza, an infection not typically associated with post-infectious IA, was used for comparison.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Johns Hopkins Health System administrative claims data from 01/2013-05/2024. Patients with LD and influenza were identified using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes, with LD cases further defined by requiring an antibiotic prescription within 30 days of the ICD code. IA cases were identified using 2+ ICD codes for rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis or spondyloarthritis. Comparisons between infection groups were conducted using chi-square tests and Z-tests as appropriate. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to estimate the odds of IA development within two years of Lyme or influenza diagnosis, controlling for age and sex.

resultsThe incidence of IA was significantly higher following LD compared to influenza (1.67 % vs 0.45 %, p < 0.0001), with the highest incidence of IA occurring within the first year after LD. Regression analysis showed LD was associated with increased odds of IA compared to influenza (OR 3.76, 95 % CI: 2.41-5.86, p < 0.001) after adjusting for age and sex.

conclusionThe incidence of IA was higher within a year of LD infection, higher than that expected in the general population. The temporal association and elevated incidence support the need for prospective studies to elucidate mechanisms linking infection and autoimmunity in LD.

Indexed as

ArthritisArthritis, RheumatoidAutoimmune DiseasesLyme DiseaseAdultAgedFemaleHumansIncidenceInfluenza, HumanMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesYoung AdultLyme disease, inflammatory arthritis

Identifiers

PMID40706260
PMCPMC12326288

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.