Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40704643›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2025

Timing of stroke risk reassessment in atrial fibrillation patients with a CHA2DS2-VA score of 0 or 1: the Norwegian AFNOR study.

Mariam Anjum, Inger Ariansen, Marius Myrstad, Lars J Kjerpeseth, Vidar Hjellvik, Eva Skovlund, Ingrid E Christophersen, Arnljot Tveit, Trygve Berge

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Risks of discontinuation of anticoagulation after atrial fibrillation ablation in high-risk patients.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
  4. From fixed time points to personalized care: rethinking stroke risk management in atrial fibrillation patients.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Mariam AnjumDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Gjettum, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-9480-3848
Inger AriansenDepartment of Chronic Diseases, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-8529-4826
Marius MyrstadDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Gjettum, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-9682-5255
Lars J KjerpesethDepartment of Chronic Diseases, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-2033-736X
Vidar HjellvikDepartment of Chronic Diseases, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-2379-9906
Eva SkovlundDepartment of Public Health and Nursing, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-2997-6141
Ingrid E ChristophersenDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Gjettum, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-6141-4712
Arnljot TveitDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Gjettum, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-7223-5138
Trygve BergeDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Gjettum, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-7681-8621

Funding

South-Eastern Norway Regional Health 26903
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsStroke risk in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients increases over time, but the optimal reassessment interval remains unclear. This study evaluated changes in the CHA2DS2-VA score in AF patients with low (score 0) or intermediate (score 1) stroke risk and explored appropriate reassessment intervals. METHODS AND

resultsUsing Norwegian national registries (2011-18), 40 782 individuals with incident AF aged ≥18 years and a low or intermediate CHA2DS2-VA score were identified. Patients were followed from first AF diagnosis until an increase in the CHA2DS2-VA score, and the proportion with increased score was assessed across age groups. The number needed to reassess to detect one new CHA2DS2-VA risk factor was calculated at different time intervals after AF diagnosis. The CHA2DS2-VA score increased in 50% of patients after a median follow-up of 1.7 years. The proportion of patients with an increased CHA2DS2-VA score was 19% at 6 months, 25% at 1 year, and 40% at 3 years after AF diagnosis. At 1 year, the proportion of patients with a new risk factor was lower in those aged 18-44 years (8%) and 45-54 years (14%) compared to those aged >55 years (30%), with the number needed to reassess at 1 year being 12, 7, and 3 patients, respectively.

conclusionNew risk factors emerged in half of AF patients within 1.7 years. Age-specific differences underscore the need for tailored reassessment, suggesting a shorter interval of 6 months for patients ≥55 years and 1 year for those <55 years and routinely at age 65 and 75 years.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationStrokeAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNorwayRegistriesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsTime FactorsAtrial fibrillationDynamic careReassessmentRisk factorsStroke prevention

Identifiers

PMID40704643
PMCPMC12509847

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.