Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40703004›Full record

Observational studyThe Medical journal of Australia2025

Effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccine boosters for reducing COVID-19 mortality among people aged 65 years or older, Australia, August 2023 - February 2024: a retrospective observational cohort study.

Bette Liu, Anish Scaria, Sandrine Stepien, Kristine Macartney

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The Medical journal of Australia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Bette LiuNational Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance (NCIRS), Children's Hospital at Westmead, Sydney, NSW.
Anish ScariaNational Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance (NCIRS), Children's Hospital at Westmead, Sydney, NSW.
Sandrine StepienNational Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance (NCIRS), Children's Hospital at Westmead, Sydney, NSW.
Kristine MacartneyNational Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance (NCIRS), Children's Hospital at Westmead, Sydney, NSW.ORCID 0000-0002-4675-0232

Funding

Health Economics Research Division in the Australian Government Department of Health and Aged Care N/A
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo assess the effectiveness of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) monovalent XBB.1.5 variant vaccine for reducing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortality among people aged 65 years or older. STUDY

designRetrospective observational cohort study; analysis of linked 2021 Australian census, Australian Immunisation Register, and death registrations data.

settingAustralia, 1 August 2023 to 29 February 2024; dominant SARS-CoV-2 Omicron subvariants: XBB-related until early December 2023, then the BA.2.86-related JN.1.

participantsPeople aged 65 years or older on 1 August 2023.

main outcome measuresRelative vaccine effectiveness by time since most recent booster and booster type (XBB.1.5 variant or other), adjusted for age, gender, state/territory, household income, number of medical conditions, number of general practice visits, and influenza vaccination during 2022.

resultsBy 29 February 2024, 1620 COVID-19-specific deaths among 4.12 million people aged 65 years or older had been recorded. COVID-19 mortality was lower among people who had received XBB.1.5 COVID-19 booster doses during the preceding 90 days (21 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 9-52] per 100 000 person-years) than among those whose most recent booster had been more than 365 days ago (72 [95% CI, 61-84] per 100 000 person-years). The relative vaccine effectiveness for XBB.1.5 boosters during the preceding 90 days (v any booster > 365 days) was 74.7% (95% CI, 59.9-84.1%); for other booster types it was 51.6% (95% CI, 39.3-61.4%). Relative vaccine effectiveness declined with time: for any booster during the preceding 91-180 days (v any booster > 365 days) it was 31.2% (95% CI, 18.9-41.6%); for any booster during the preceding 181-365 days it was 13.1% (95% CI, 1.8-23.2%). Relative XBB.1.5 vaccine effectiveness was similar in analyses restricted to 1 December 2023 - 29 February 2024, when the dominant Omicron subvariant was JN.1.

conclusionsRecent booster vaccination with the XBB.1.5 monovalent COVID-19 vaccine was highly effective for preventing COVID-19 deaths among people aged 65 years or older, including during the period in which the JN.1 was the dominant SARS-CoV-2 Omicron subvariant. Our findings provide support for the recommendation that people aged 65 years or older receive COVID-19 vaccine booster doses every six months.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesImmunization, SecondaryVaccine EfficacyAgedAged, 80 and overAustraliaBNT162 VaccineFemaleHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2BNT162 VaccineCOVID-19 VaccinesCOVID‐19Vaccination

Identifiers

PMID40703004
PMCPMC12536084

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.