Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40702324›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2025

Large language model-based biological age prediction in large-scale populations.

Yanjun Li, Qi Huang, Jin Jiang, Xusheng Du, Wenxin Xiang, Shiqi Zhang, Zean Pan, Liyuan Zhao, Yuyan Cui, Limei Ke and 12 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Functional, molecular, and digital measurements of biological age.The Journal of clinical investigation · 2026
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Observational
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Advancing Precision Nutrition Through Multimodal Data and Artificial Intelligence.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
  18. Evaluating Representation Embeddings from LLMs and Time-Series Foundation Models for Wearable Accelerometer-Based Health Prediction.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2026
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Yanjun Li *Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Qi Huang *Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Jin Jiang *Wangxuan Institute of Computer Technology, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Xusheng Du *Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Wenxin XiangSchool of Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Shiqi ZhangDivision of Sports Science and Physical Education, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Zean PanSchool of Economics and Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China.
Liyuan ZhaoSchool of Statistics and Mathematics, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China.
Yuyan CuiSchool of Statistics and Mathematics, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China.
Limei KeSchool of Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Bo YinSchool of Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-3327-0084
Linfeng LiuSchool of Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Guoqing FengSchool of Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Shouyi YanVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Liangcai GaoWangxuan Institute of Computer Technology, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Yang LiuDepartment of Computer Science and Technology, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Yujuan YuanDepartment of Cardiology, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, China.
Yanying GuoDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, China.
Yuqing YangPeople's Hospital of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, China.
Weizhi MaInstitute for AI Industry Research, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. mawz@tsinghua.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5604-7527
Yining YangDepartment of Cardiology, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, Urumqi, China. yangyn5126@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8332-8508
Qian DiVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. qiandi@tsinghua.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1584-4770

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42277419
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurate and convenient assessment of individual aging is crucial for identifying health risks and preventing aging-related diseases. Nonetheless, current aging proxies often face challenges such as methodological limitations, weak associations with adverse outcomes and limited generalizability. Here we propose a framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) to estimate individual overall and organ-specific aging using only health examination reports. We validated this approach across six population-based cohorts, encompassing over 10 million participants and demonstrated effectiveness and reliability. Our results showed that the LLM-predicted overall age achieved a concordance index (C-index) of 0.757 (95% CI 0.752-0.761) for all-cause mortality, significantly outperforming other aging proxies such as telomere length, frailty index, eight epigenetic ages and four machine-learning models predictions. The overall age gap was strongly associated with multiple aging-related phenotypes and health outcomes, showing a hazard ratio of 1.055 (95% CI 1.050-1.060) for all-cause mortality. For organ-specific aging, LLM-predicted ages and age gaps also demonstrated superior performance in predicting corresponding organ-specific diseases compared to machine-learning models. Additionally, we examined the dynamic aging assessment capability of LLMs and applied age gaps to identify proteomic biomarkers associated with accelerated aging and to develop risk prediction models of 270 diseases. Interpretability analyses were also conducted to explore the decision-making process of LLMs. In conclusion, our LLM-based aging assessment framework offers a precise, reliable and cost-effective approach for estimating overall and organ-specific aging. It has potential for personalized aging assessment and health management in large-scale general populations.

Indexed as

AgingLanguageAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansLarge Language ModelsMachine LearningMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.