ArticleCommunications medicine2025
Cross-sectional entomological data reveals an increased risk of arboviral transmission in a year of record-breaking heat in Southern Europe.
Article in Communications medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Environmental and demographic determinants of Aedes albopictus seasonal activity in southern France: A modeling study.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Aedes albopictus and Dengue Transmission Risk in France Over the 21st Century.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Preparing Europe for Recurrent Autochthonous Dengue Transmission: Public Health Implications and Preparedness Priorities.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2026Article
- Cutaneous Manifestations of Emerging Arbovirus Infections Including West Nile, Dengue, Zika, Chikungunya, Usutu, and Toscana Viruses: A Clinical Overview for Dermatologists.American journal of clinical dermatology · 2026Review
- Cross-sectional entomological data reveals an increased risk of arboviral transmission in a year of record-breaking heat in Southern Europe.Communications medicine · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundIn 2023, an unprecedentedly high number of locally acquired cases of dengue virus occurred in Europe, including the first large outbreak in Rome (Italy). Globally, 2023 was warmer than any previous year on record since 1850, with each month from June to December being warmer than the corresponding month in previous years.
methodsWe conducted an extensive analysis of entomological data in Rome to investigate how the unprecedentedly high temperatures seen in 2023 affected the abundance and seasonal dynamics of the local vector Aedes albopictus population and the risk of autochthonous transmission of both dengue and chikungunya viruses. We applied a mathematical dynamic temperature-based model to analyse adult mosquito collections in 2023 compared to those available for 2012 and assess the consequent changes in the risk of arboviral transmission. Simulations of potential local transmission triggered by disease importation were used to evaluate the effectiveness of human and entomological surveillance for monitoring transmission risks, providing insights for future action plans
resultsResults highlight a higher abundance and longer active season of Ae. albopictus as well as a higher risk of local arbovirus transmission in 2023.
conclusionsOur findings raise concern in light of the predictions for more frequent extremely warm years in Europe in the near future.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.