Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40698945›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of social psychology2025

The 'twin pandemics'? modelling and predicting the trajectories of IPV perpetration during the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia.

Gery C Karantzas, Daniel A Romano, Susan Chesterman, Emma M Marshall, Laura Knox, Ellie R Mullins, Nicholas Lawless, Elizabeth Ferguson, Peter G Miller, Christopher I Eckhardt and 3 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of social psychology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Gery C KarantzasSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1503-2991
Daniel A RomanoSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Susan ChestermanSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Emma M MarshallSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Laura KnoxSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Ellie R MullinsSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Nicholas LawlessSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Elizabeth FergusonSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Peter G MillerSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Christopher I EckhardtDepartment of Psychological Sciences, Purdue University, Indiana, USA.
Pam PilkingtonSchool of Psychology, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Anshu PatelDepartment of Psychology, University of Minneosta, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.
Jeffry A SimpsonDepartment of Psychology, University of Minneosta, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Initial research suggested that intimate partner violence (IPV) increased over COVID-19 due to social restrictions. This IPV increase during COVID-19 has been termed the 'twin pandemics'. Closer inspection of the evidence, however, challenges this notion. In this study, Australian residents (N = 608) who were either exposed to strict, prolonged lockdown orders (Victorian residents) or not (non-Victorian residents) completed 10 waves of IPV perpetration assessment online over five months and baseline assessments of instigating factors (situational factors that increase IPV perpetration), impelling factors (personal characteristics that increase IPV perpetration) and inhibiting factors (personal and situational factors that diminish IPV perpetration). Latent profile analysis and conditional latent growth curve modelling revealed that lockdown alone did not predict IPV trajectories. However, individuals whose profiles evidenced higher instigating and impelling factors and lower inhibiting factors (i.e. perfect storm profile) demonstrated elevated physical and psychological IPV over time compared to those whose profiles evidenced lower instigating and impelling factors and higher inhibiting factors (i.e. low-risk profile). Those with a perfect storm profile also evidenced steeper acceleration in physical and psychological IPV over time. The findings call into question the 'twin pandemics' notion and suggest that IPV over COVID-19 is best predicted by a specific risk profile.

Indexed as

COVID-19Intimate Partner ViolenceAdolescentAdultAustraliaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPandemicsSARS-CoV-2Young AdultCOVID‐19I3 modelintimate partner violenceperfect stormsocial restrictions

Identifiers

PMID40698945
PMCPMC12285568

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.