Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40697224›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastrointestinal oncology2025

Predictive value of a nomogram model for treatment response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer.

Qiong-Ya Guo, Wei Zhang, Lin Fu, Shan-Shan Hu, Lin Li

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Article in World journal of gastrointestinal oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Qiong-Ya GuoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou 450003, Henan Province, China.
Wei ZhangDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou 450003, Henan Province, China.
Lin FuDepartment of Gastroenterology, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou 450003, Henan Province, China.
Shan-Shan HuDepartment of Gastroenterology, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou 450003, Henan Province, China.
Lin LiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou 450003, Henan Province, China. lilin7002@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLocally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) carries a substantial risk of recurrence, prompting the use of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) to improve tumor resectability and long-term outcomes. However, individual treatment responses vary considerably, highlighting the need for robust predictive tools to guide clinical decision-making.

aimTo develop a nomogram model integrating clinical characteristics and biomarkers to predict the likelihood of poor response to nCRT in LARC.

methodsA retrospective analysis was performed on 178 patients with stage II-III LARC treated from January 2021 to December 2023. All patients underwent standardized nCRT followed by total mesorectal excision. Clinical data, inflammatory markers [C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-alpha], and tumor markers [carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9] were collected. Logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of poor nCRT response. A nomogram was constructed using significant predictors and validated

resultsA total of 178 patients were enrolled, with 36 (20.2%) achieving a good response and 142 (79.8%) exhibiting a poor response to nCRT. Baseline factors, including age and comorbidities, showed no significant differences. However, poor responders more frequently had lymph node metastasis, advanced tumor node metastasis/T stage, larger tumor diameter, and elevated CRP, IL-6, and CEA levels. Logistic regression confirmed CRP, IL-6, and CEA as independent predictors of poor response. The nomogram demonstrated high accuracy (area under the curve = 0.928), good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow

conclusionA nomogram incorporating serum CRP, IL-6, and CEA accurately predicts poor nCRT response in patients with LARC. This model provides a valuable framework for individualized treatment planning, potentially improving clinical outcomes.

Indexed as

Carcinoembryonic antigenC-reactive proteinInterleukin-6Locally advanced rectal cancerNeoadjuvant chemoradiotherapyNomogram model

Identifiers

PMID40697224
PMCPMC12278235

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