Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40693281›Full record

ArticleEnvironmetrics2024

Penalized distributed lag interaction model: Air pollution, birth weight, and neighborhood vulnerability.

Danielle Demateis, Kayleigh P Keller, David Rojas-Rueda, Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou, Ander Wilson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmetrics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Multi-Tree Model for Precision Environmental Health with Longitudinally Assessed Mixture Exposure.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Distributed lag interaction model with index modification.Biostatistics (Oxford, England) · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Danielle DemateisDepartment of Statistics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
Kayleigh P KellerDepartment of Statistics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
David Rojas-RuedaDepartment of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
Marianthi-Anna KioumourtzoglouDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.
Ander WilsonDepartment of Statistics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.

Funding

Integrating Air Pollution Prediction Models: Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation in Health StudiesR01ES030616 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI DOMINICI, FRANCESCA, KIOUMOURTZOGLOU, MARIANTHI-ANNA · 2020 to 2024
$3.1M
Air Pollution and Pregnancy LossR01ES029943 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI DEYSSENROTH, MAYA ARIANE, KIOUMOURTZOGLOU, MARIANTHI-ANNA · 2020 to 2024
$2.5M
NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES029943NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES030616
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Maternal exposure to air pollution during pregnancy has a substantial public health impact. Epidemiological evidence supports an association between maternal exposure to air pollution and low birth weight. A popular method to estimate this association while identifying windows of susceptibility is a distributed lag model (DLM), which regresses an outcome onto exposure history observed at multiple time points. However, the standard DLM framework does not allow for modification of the association between repeated measures of exposure and the outcome. We propose a distributed lag interaction model that allows modification of the exposure-time-response associations across individuals by including an interaction between a continuous modifying variable and the exposure history. Our model framework is an extension of a standard DLM that uses a cross-basis, or bi-dimensional function space, to simultaneously describe both the modification of the exposure-response relationship and the temporal structure of the exposure data. Through simulations, we showed that our model with penalization out-performs a standard DLM when the true exposure-time-response associations vary by a continuous variable. Using a Colorado, USA birth cohort, we estimated the association between birth weight and ambient fine particulate matter air pollution modified by an area-level metric of health and social adversities from Colorado EnviroScreen.

Indexed as

distributed lag modelseffect modificationenvironmental epidemiologyfine particulate matterpenalized splines

Identifiers

PMID40693281
PMCPMC12278763

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.