ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2026
External Validation of Pediatric Pneumonia and Bronchiolitis Risk Scores to Predict Mortality in Children Hospitalized in Kenya: A Retrospective Cohort Study.
Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Misdiagnosis of bronchiolitis and misuse of antibiotics - experience from the largest paediatric hospital of Bangladesh.Journal of global health · 2026Observational
- Reliability of Physical Examination Findings in Youths Diagnosed With Pneumonia.JAMA network open · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAcute lower respiratory tract infections (ALRIs) are a leading cause of pediatric mortality in low- and middle-income countries. In recent years, substantial research has been done to enhance risk stratification of children presenting with ALRIs, in a bid to improve health outcomes in resource-limited settings. We sought to analyze the performance of several pediatric ALRI risk scores in the prediction of mortality among children hospitalized with ALRIs in Kenya.
methodsWe retrospectively analyzed the data of 2182 children aged 2-24 months who were admitted to Kilifi County Referral Hospital, Kenya with severe ALRIs between January 2015 and December 2024. We evaluated the performance of 6 ALRI risk scores (RISC [HIV-negative], mRISC, RISC-Malawi, PERCH, PREPARE, and ReSVinet) in this population. Additionally, we created and evaluated a modified version of the ReSVinet score by including nutrition status. Discrimination was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).
resultsThe mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) version of the RISC-Malawi score showed the highest discrimination for the outcome of in-hospital mortality (AUROC, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, .79-.86), whilst all other scores showed acceptable discrimination (AUROC, 0.70-0.79). The modification of ReSVinet to include nutrition status significantly improved its AUROC from 0.72 to 0.79.
conclusionsAll risk scores showed at least fair performance in the prediction of in-hospital mortality within our dataset. The RISC-Malawi (MUAC) score appears to be the most promising candidate for future implementation; however, further research is needed to evaluate the calibration, feasibility, and clinical utility of these scores.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.