Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40691816›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2025

Global burden of esophageal diseases: a comprehensive analysis of disease trends and risk factors from 1990 to 2021.

Yanbin Wei, Endian Liu, Jiafei Peng, Yanqing Liu, Xiujing Sun, Xin Yao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Pathogenesis of Barrett's Esophagus: Evolving and Emerging Mechanisms.Gastrointestinal endoscopy clinics of North America · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yanbin Wei *State Key Laboratory of Digestive Health, National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Early Gastrointestinal Cancer Medicine and Medical Devices, Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100050, China.
Endian Liu *State Key Laboratory of Digestive Health, National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Early Gastrointestinal Cancer Medicine and Medical Devices, Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100050, China.
Jiafei PengState Key Laboratory of Digestive Health, National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Early Gastrointestinal Cancer Medicine and Medical Devices, Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100050, China.
Yanqing LiuDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, 95064, USA.
Xiujing SunState Key Laboratory of Digestive Health, National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Early Gastrointestinal Cancer Medicine and Medical Devices, Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100050, China.
Xin YaoState Key Laboratory of Digestive Health, National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Disease, Beijing Key Laboratory of Early Gastrointestinal Cancer Medicine and Medical Devices, Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100050, China. xinyaoyongpeng@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEsophageal diseases (ED) are a common category of upper gastrointestinal disorders, mainly including gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), esophagitis, Barrett's esophagus, achalasia, and esophageal cancer (EC). In recent years, the high recurrence rate of GERD and poor prognosis of EC are paid more attention, collectively contributing to the global burden of ED.

methodsFor this study, we systematically analyzed the global distribution of ED from 1990 to 2021, detailing the burden across different countries, regions, and socio-demographic index (SDI) levels. Furthermore, we explored temporal trends in ED burden over this period and conducted decomposition analysis, health inequality analysis, and frontier analysis. Finally, we projected trends in ED burden from 2022 to 2045, and quantify contributions of associated risk factors to disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of EC.

resultsThe absolute numbers of incidence, mortality, and DALYs for GERD and EC showed increasing trends from 1990 to 2021, while their age-standardized rates (ASRs) demonstrated divergent patterns: stable for GERD and declining for EC. The highest ASRs were observed in low-middle SDI regions for GERD and high-middle SDI regions for EC, respectively, with population as a main driver. If current trends continue, the burden of GERD will continue to rise, whereas that of EC will persistently decline by 2045. In 2021, DALYs of EC were mainly attributed to smoking (36.5%) and alcohol use (16.2%).

conclusionsFor GERD and EC, the global burden continued to rise and decline from 1990 to 2021, respectively. Developing targeted public health strategies in different countries and regions is crucial for alleviating the global burden of ED.

Indexed as

Esophageal DiseasesEsophageal NeoplasmsGastroesophageal RefluxGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdultBarrett EsophagusCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsEsophageal AchalasiaEsophagitisFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedDisability-adjusted life yearsEsophageal cancerGastroesophageal reflux diseaseGlobal burden of diseasesIncidenceMortality

Identifiers

PMID40691816
PMCPMC12281767

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.