Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40690440›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Effect of caesarean birth on perinatal mortality for singleton breech presentation in spontaneous preterm labour-A target trial emulation using Scottish health record data.

Robin Alexander, Swetha Bhaskar, Amaya Azcoaga-Lorenzo, Adeniyi Francis Fagbamigbe, Clarine Y C Chow, Kevin K W Kuan, Sarah J Stock, Stefan A Unger, Ben Swallow, Colin McCowan and 1 more

Abstract read
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Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Robin AlexanderResearch Fellow in Medical Statistics, Division of Population and Behavioural Sciences, School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, United Kingdom.
Swetha BhaskarConsultant Obstetrician and Gynaecologist, Victoria Hospital, Kirkcaldy, United Kingdom.
Amaya Azcoaga-LorenzoHonorary Senior Lecturer, Division of Population and Behavioural Sciences, School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, United Kingdom.
Adeniyi Francis FagbamigbeAssociate Professor in Medical Statistics, Centre for Healthcare and Community, Coventry University, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Clarine Y C ChowResident Doctor, Stockport NHS Foundation Trust, Stockport, United Kingdom.
Kevin K W KuanResident Physician, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5586-5752
Sarah J StockHonorary Professor in Maternal and Fetal Health, Usher Institute, Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Stefan A UngerHonorary Professor in Maternal and Fetal Health, Usher Institute, Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Ben SwallowLecturer in Statistics, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, United Kingdom.
Colin McCowanProfessor in Health Data Science, Division of Population and Behavioural Sciences, School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, United Kingdom.
Holger W UngerAssociate Professor, Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Northern Territory, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6347-536X

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe effects of mode of birth for women in preterm breech labour could not be successfully determined in randomised trials. We aimed to explore the effect of caesarean birth on perinatal mortality for women in spontaneous-onset preterm labour with a singleton baby presenting breech through target trial emulation.

methodsA target trial emulation of a parallel group randomised controlled trial using routinely collected Scottish electronic health record data was performed. Participants were pregnant women at 24-36 gestational weeks with a singleton breech baby, no prior caesarean birth, in spontaneous labour with a live baby at labour onset (1 January 1997 to 31 December 2019). We compared caesarean birth (intervention) to vaginal breech birth (control) in a per-protocol analysis (actual mode of birth). The primary outcome was extended perinatal mortality (intrapartum stillbirths and neonatal deaths). A multiple logistic regression model with inverse probability weight was used to adjust for measured confounders. There were 2,092 caesarean births and 967 vaginal breech births. In the emulated trial, caesarean birth reduced extended perinatal mortality compared to vaginal breech birth (odds ratio [OR] 0.35, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.27 to 0.43). At 24 weeks' gestation, caesarean birth decreased the odds of perinatal death by 47.7% (OR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.35 to 0.78). At 36 gestational weeks it was associated with an 82.1% reduction in the odds of perinatal death (OR: 0.18, 95% CI: 0.10 to 0.32). As the risk of perinatal mortality is inversely correlated with gestational age at birth, seven and 88 caesarean births were needed to prevent one perinatal death at 24 weeks and 36 weeks' gestation, respectively.

conclusionsCaesarean birth was associated with a reduced risk of extended perinatal mortality in spontaneous preterm singleton breech labour in a per-protocol trial emulation. Observational data that accurately captures planned mode of birth and unmeasured confounders such as breech subtype is required to emulate an intention-to-treat analysis.

Indexed as

Breech PresentationCesarean SectionObstetric Labor, PrematurePerinatal MortalityAdultElectronic Health RecordsFemaleGestational AgeHumansInfant, NewbornPregnancyScotlandStillbirth

Identifiers

PMID40690440
PMCPMC12279104

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.