Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40689947›Full record

ArticlePediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany)2025

Association of intrapatient tacrolimus variability and concentration-to-dose ratio with outcomes in pediatric kidney transplantation.

Maral Baghai Arassi, Nora Fisch, Manuel Feißt, Kai Krupka, Britta Höcker, Alexander Fichtner, Nele Kanzelmeyer, Jens König, Anette Melk, Jun Oh and 5 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. CNI Trough Variability Does Not Reliably Reflect Medication Adherence: Insights From a 3-Year Follow-Up Study.Transplant international : official journal of the European Society for Organ Transplantation · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Maral Baghai ArassiDepartment of Pediatrics I, Medical Faculty, University Children's Hospital, Heidelberg University, Im Neuenheimer Feld 430, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany. Maral.BaghaiArassi@med.uni-heidelberg.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8957-7767
Nora FischDepartment of Pediatrics I, Medical Faculty, University Children's Hospital, Heidelberg University, Im Neuenheimer Feld 430, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.
Manuel FeißtInstitute of Medical Biometry, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5016-9731
Kai KrupkaDepartment of Pediatrics I, Medical Faculty, University Children's Hospital, Heidelberg University, Im Neuenheimer Feld 430, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0409-5196
Britta HöckerDepartment of Pediatrics I, Medical Faculty, University Children's Hospital, Heidelberg University, Im Neuenheimer Feld 430, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4131-2273
Alexander FichtnerDepartment of Pediatrics I, Medical Faculty, University Children's Hospital, Heidelberg University, Im Neuenheimer Feld 430, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9939-4059
Nele KanzelmeyerDepartment of Pediatric Kidney, Liver and Metabolic Diseases and Neuropediatrics, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4865-4906
Jens KönigDepartment of General Pediatrics, University Children's Hospital Münster, Münster, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9732-8656
Anette MelkDepartment of Pediatric Kidney, Liver and Metabolic Diseases and Neuropediatrics, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8164-6318
Jun OhDepartment of Pediatric Nephrology, University Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1846-675X
Lars PapeClinic for Paediatrics III, Essen University Hospital, Essen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3635-6418
Lutz T WeberPediatric Nephrology, Faculty of Medicine, Children's and Adolescents' Hospital, University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4116-598X
Marcus WeitzDepartment of General Pediatrics and Hematology/Oncology, University Children's Hospital, University Hospital Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1696-5646
Burkhard TönshoffDepartment of Pediatrics I, Medical Faculty, University Children's Hospital, Heidelberg University, Im Neuenheimer Feld 430, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6598-6910
CERTAIN Research Network, the ESPN working group on transplantation

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundData on the relevance of tacrolimus intrapatient variability (TacIPV) and concentration-to-dose ratio (C/D ratio) as an approximation of tacrolimus metabolism for predicting outcomes in pediatric kidney transplant (pKTx) recipients are scarce.

methodsWe conducted a multicenter retrospective study of 255 pKTx recipients from the CERTAIN registry. TacIPV was quantified as the coefficient of variation (CV%) during months 6-12 post-transplant. In addition, the C/D ratio, corrected for body surface area, was calculated for the first 6 months post-transplant. Cutoffs were determined by minimization of log-rank P values: 23% for TacIPV and 1.0 for C/D ratio. Rejection episodes were classified according to the Banff criteria in the period following marker quantification.

resultsA total of 13,159 tacrolimus trough blood levels were analyzed, with a median of 52 (IQR, 41-63) measurements per patient. High TacIPV (> 23%) during months 6-12 post-transplant was associated with an increased risk of rejection beyond 12 months post-transplant (hazard ratio (HR) 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.06, P = 0.002; Kaplan-Meier analysis P = 0.002). Similarly, a low C/D ratio (< 1.0), i.e., rapid tacrolimus metabolism, during the first 6 months was associated with a higher risk of rejection between months 6 and 12 (inverse HR 3.13, 95% CI 1.01-9.09, P = 0.04; Kaplan-Meier analysis P = 0.011).

conclusionsThis largest to date multicenter study determines pediatric-specific cutoff values for TacIPV and tacrolimus C/D ratio as a predictive marker for graft rejection. Patients with these risk factors should be closely monitored and their immunosuppressive therapy adjusted accordingly.

Indexed as

Graft RejectionImmunosuppressive AgentsKidney TransplantationTacrolimusAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolDrug MonitoringFemaleGraft SurvivalHumansInfantMaleRegistriesRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsImmunosuppressive AgentsTacrolimusAllograft rejectionConcentration-to-dose ratioIntrapatient variabilityPediatric kidney transplantationTacrolimus

Identifiers

PMID40689947
PMCPMC12549751

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.