Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40689247›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2025

Incidence of Human Metapneumovirus Among Older Adults in 10 High-Income Countries: A Systematic Literature Review, Meta-analysis, and Modeling Study.

Jiali Lei, Catherine W Gillespie, Serena Santoni, Jam Suba, Niranjan Kanesa-Thasan, Ajoke Sobanjo-Ter Meulen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jiali LeiIHME Client Services, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-0437-9299
Catherine W GillespieIHME Client Services, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3501-9540
Serena SantoniIHME Client Services, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4964-3774
Jam SubaIHME Client Services, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Niranjan Kanesa-ThasanIcosavax, Vaccines & Immune Therapies, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9346-5485
Ajoke Sobanjo-Ter MeulenIcosavax, Vaccines & Immune Therapies, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The epidemiologic landscape for human metapneumovirus (hMPV), a respiratory pathogen, is poorly characterized, particularly among older adults. Methods: Leveraging the latest estimates of lower respiratory infection (LRI) incidence from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 and meta-analyzed findings from a systematic literature review, we quantified the incidence of LRI with hMPV in 10 high-income locations among older adults in the most recent prepandemic year (2019): Canada, Chile, France, Germany, New Zealand, Netherlands, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, and United States. Results: The systematic literature review identified 21 studies with data on the percentage of LRI episodes associated with hMPV in adults aged ≥60 years in the targeted locations. Combining the meta-analyzed percentage of LRI cases associated with hMPV from these studies (7.0%; 95% CI, 5.4%-9.1%) with age-, sex-, and location-specific estimates of LRI incidence from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we estimated that hMPV incidence rates per 100 000 in 2019 among adults aged ≥60 ranged from 185.7 (95% uncertainty interval, 134.7-251.1) in Italy to 462.1 (333.1-628.2) in the United States. Conclusions: Overall, our literature review, meta-analysis, and modeling study confirm a significant burden of hMPV-associated LRI in older adults. This work fills a critical evidence gap in the epidemiologic landscape of hMPV and yields actionable estimates to inform vaccine development strategies and other strategic initiatives. Future inclusion of hMPV in routine surveillance would enable more comprehensive estimates of hMPV incidence and outcomes.

Indexed as

hMPVincidencelower respiratory infectionmeta-analysisolder adults

Identifiers

PMID40689247
PMCPMC12272053

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.