Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40688167›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2025

Waning immunity, prevailing non-vaccine type

Jiehao Cai, Qiyi Liu, Biquan Chen, Yue Jiang, Xiaoyan Zeng, Jiebin Huang, Daojiong Lin, Huanyou Li, Jinqiang Zhang, Zhiqiang Zhuo and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Jiehao CaiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, National Children's Medical Center, Shanghai, PR China.
Qiyi LiuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, National Children's Medical Center, Shanghai, PR China.
Biquan ChenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Anhui Children's Hospital, Anhui, PR China.
Yue JiangResearch and Translational Laboratory of Acute Injury and Secondary Infection, Minhang Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, PR China.
Xiaoyan ZengDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Anhui Children's Hospital, Anhui, PR China.
Jiebin HuangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, National Children's Medical Center, Shanghai, PR China.
Daojiong LinDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Hainan Women and Children's Medical Center, Hainan, PR China.
Huanyou LiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Hainan Women and Children's Medical Center, Hainan, PR China.
Jinqiang ZhangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Xiamen Children's Hospital, Fujian, PR China.
Zhiqiang ZhuoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Xiamen Children's Hospital, Fujian, PR China.
Yanping ZhangDepartment of Pediatrics, Inner Mongolia Ordos Central Hospital, Inner Mongolia, PR China.
Panpan LvDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Minhang Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, PR China.
Qiang WangDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Minhang Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, PR China.
Wenhong ZhangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Medical Centre for Infectious Diseases, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Biosafety Emergency Response, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, PR China.
Mingliang ChenResearch and Translational Laboratory of Acute Injury and Secondary Infection, Minhang Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, PR China.
Mei ZengDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, National Children's Medical Center, Shanghai, PR China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: In the spring and summer of 2024, an unexpected large outbreak of pertussis hit China, with the annual incidence of pertussis (34.03/100,000) more than 12-fold higher than that of 2023 (2.71/100,000). We aimed to assess clinical and molecular epidemiological patterns and unravel the reasons behind the 2024 pertussis outbreak. Methods: PCR-confirmed pertussis cases were enrolled from five sentinel hospitals in Shanghai, Anhui, Hainan, Fujian, and Inner Mongolia between 1 January and 30 September 2024. The epidemiological data of PCR-confirmed cases, as well as the clinical data and vaccination history of hospitalized cases were collected. Nasopharyngeal swab samples were collected from partial pertussis cases and their household contacts for Findings: A total of 14,874 cases of pertussis were PCR-confirmed in the 5 sentinel hospitals, peaking in April to July. Infants represented 9.6% of cases and children aged 4-10 years represented 74.3% of cases in the five hospitals. Of the 7238 (48.7%) cases with vaccination data, 6563 (90.7%) were fully vaccinated. Breakthrough pertussis cases were mainly observed in fully vaccinated children since the age of 7 months. Among the 828 (5.6%) cases hospitalized for pertussis, 71.7% (594/828) cases had complications (pneumonia 69.7%, 577/828), 5.7% (47/828) were admitted to intensive care unit and 0.24% (2/828) cases died. Sixty-four per cent (403/630) of families had both the patient and at least one family member PCR-positive for Interpretation: The waning vaccine-derived protection and the prevailing macrolide-resistant MT28 clone harboring non-vaccine type Funding: This work is supported by Shanghai Municipal Sixth Round Three-Year Action Plan for Strengthening the Construction of the Public Health System (GWVI-11.1-07, GWVI-2.1.2) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (82272381).

Indexed as

Azithromycin-resistantBordetella pertussisChinaOutbreakPRN-deficiencyptxP3Whole genome sequence

Identifiers

PMID40688167
PMCPMC12272891

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.