Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40687787›Full record

ArticleiScience2025

Merits of dietary patterns for China's future food security satisfying socioeconomic development and climate change adaptation.

Wencong Yue, Meirong Su, Yanpeng Cai, Qiangqiang Rong, Chao Xu, Yuanchao Hu, Jiajia Li, Shujie Yu, Donghan Chen, Zhongqi Liu and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Wencong YueEnvironmental Monitoring Center, Ecology and Environment Bureau of Haidian District of Beijing Municipality, Beijing 100089, China.
Meirong SuGuangdong Basic Research Center of Excellence for Ecological Security and Green Development, Key Laboratory for City Cluster Environmental Safety and Green Development of the Ministry of Education, School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China.
Yanpeng CaiGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Quality Improvement and Ecological Restoration for Watersheds, Institute of Environmental and Ecological Engineering, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China.
Qiangqiang RongResearch Center for Eco-Environmental Engineering, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan 523808, China.
Chao XuResearch Center for Eco-Environmental Engineering, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan 523808, China.
Yuanchao HuSchool of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Jiajia LiResearch Center for Eco-Environmental Engineering, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan 523808, China.
Shujie YuCollege of Environmental Science and Engineering, Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China.
Donghan ChenResearch Center for Eco-Environmental Engineering, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan 523808, China.
Zhongqi LiuResearch Center for Eco-Environmental Engineering, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan 523808, China.
Zhenkun TanResearch Center for Eco-Environmental Engineering, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan 523808, China.
Zhifeng YangGuangdong Basic Research Center of Excellence for Ecological Security and Green Development, Key Laboratory for City Cluster Environmental Safety and Green Development of the Ministry of Education, School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Food security depends on food production exceeding consumption, which are influenced, respectively, by climate change and socio-economic development. We adopted a hybrid approach for predicting features of future food security in China. Specifically, complex interactions in food security were examined using copula-based Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation. Crop yields per unit area were simulated with a denitrification-decomposition (DNDC) model under four climate-change scenarios. A high shortage risk for soybean and lower shortage risks for maize and wheat were predicted. Compared with the extent of food security in China under other dietary patterns, the performance advantage of the Chinese dietary pattern was identified, which could mitigate crop shortage risks. The shortage risk of core crops would not be influenced greatly under the different dietary patterns. In the planning years 2025 and 2030, the shortage risks for soybean and rice would be pronounced (i.e., more than 50%), whereas those for maize and wheat would not be prominent.

Indexed as

Energy policyEnvironmental science

Identifiers

PMID40687787
PMCPMC12270939

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.